Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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800
FNUS53 KDTX 061904
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
304 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.DISCUSSION...Isolated showers are expected this afternoon and
evening, north of I- 94. The humid airmass will hold minimum RH
values to around 60 percent. Then dry tomorrow with minimum RH
dropping to around 50 percent. Shower and thunderstorm chances
return Monday and Tuesday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-062115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
304 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 11 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5480-5980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (367).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......340-540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms after 5 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6140-6640 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (823).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-062115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
304 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and early morning, then becoming
                    southwest after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming south early in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4770-5270 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (343).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5560-6060 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (793).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-062115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
304 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph until early morning becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5870-6370 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (407).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....62-68.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......320-520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....84-88.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (726).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 80. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
80s.

$$

BC