554
FNUS53 KDTX 040731
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
331 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.DISCUSSION...A typical summer airmass holds in place today with a
slight chance for a few pockets of light showers this afternoon. Low
pressure arrives by Friday bringing more numerous showers and
embedded thunderstorms for much of the day. Upper trough tracks
overhead Saturday offering additional scattered afternoon shower
chances.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-042130-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
331 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....82-88.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6900-7400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (648).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph becoming southeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming southeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 am.
                    Showers likely after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........63-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2720-3220 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph becoming west around 25 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (656).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-042130-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
331 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....82-86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6690-7190 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (692).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2 pm. Showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2630-3130 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (610).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-042130-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
331 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....83-88.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph until
                    late afternoon, then becoming southwest early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6510-7010 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (673).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Min temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 am.
                    Showers likely after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3620-4120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (815).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs around 80.

$$

KDK