641
FXXX01 KWNP 152201
DAYDSF

:Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt
:Issued: 2024 Jul 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#            Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast.
#
:Solar_Analysis:
Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to
15/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
15/0937Z from Region 3738 (S09W68). There are currently 12 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
#
:Solar_Forecast:
Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(16 Jul, 17 Jul, 18 Jul).

#
:Geophysical_Activity:
Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 336 km/s at 15/1646Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
15/2058Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
15/1643Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 128 pfu.
#
:Geophysical_Forecast:
Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (16 Jul, 17 Jul) and quiet to
active levels on day three (18 Jul). Protons have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (16 Jul, 17 Jul, 18 Jul).