


Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
744 FNUS28 KWNS 022155 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0453 PM CDT Wed Jul 02 2025 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z ...Day 3/Friday... A negatively tilted short-wave trough and attendant mid-level wind maxima entering into the western U.S. on Day 3/Friday will increase fire weather concerns across much of the Great Basin. The stronger dry, southwest flow will scour out remaining monsoon moisture across the much of NV and southwest UT resulting in a deep, well mixed boundary layer and low surface relative humidity. In addition, widespread showers and thunderstorms ahead of the trough will affect portions of eastern Oregon and Northern Rockies region. ...Day 4-8/Saturday-Wednesday... A mid-level trough will lift into the Northern High Plains on Day 4/Saturday with a broad but reduced southwest flow pattern continuing to push remaining monsoon moisture and associated high terrain convection along and east of the Continental Divide by Day 5/Sunday, mitigating the threat of new lightning ignitions for much of the Intermountain West. A building mid-level ridge over the Desert Southwest will support climbing temperatures to above seasonal averages across much of the West starting early next week. This pattern could also usher in another round of monsoon moisture into the Lower Colorado River Basin and southern California as early as Day 5/Sunday, although enough forecast uncertainty exists to preclude critical probabilities of dry thunderstorms at this time. ..Williams.. 07/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$