Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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944
FNUS28 KWNS 052201
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0459 PM CDT Fri Jul 05 2024

Valid 071200Z - 131200Z

...Day 3/Sunday...
A northwesterly midlevel speed maximum will overspread a hot/dry
boundary layer over the Great Basin -- along the eastern periphery
of a persistent large-scale ridge over CA. This will promote
widespread elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions
across the eastern Great Basin. A focused area of critical
conditions is evident over portions of southern/eastern UT, where
strong northwesterly surface winds will overlap single-digit RH.
70-percent Critical probabilities have been added for this area
(where fuels are most receptive).

Moderate northwesterly flow aloft over the Pacific Northwest will
also favor locally elevated fire-weather conditions in the Cascade
Gaps, though critical conditions are not expected at this time.
Farther south under the ridge, locally elevated conditions are
expected across portions of Southern CA and the Central CA Coast,
where continued hot/dry and locally breezy conditions are forecast.

...Days 4-8/Monday-Friday...
The large-scale ridge will shift slowly southward/eastward, as
low-amplitude troughing develops over the Pacific Northwest. This
evolution will favor periods of breezy conditions across northern CA
into the Northwest, where a hot/dry antecedent air mass will remain
in place. Additionally, isolated thunderstorm potential will
increase on Day 5/Tuesday through the remainder of the forecast
period. As a result, fire-weather concerns will gradually increase,
though the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical
probabilities.

..Weinman.. 07/05/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$