Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
419 FXUS64 KCRP 080958 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 458 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday) Issued at 432 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 Hurricane Beryl has made landfall near Matagorda Texas early this morning and will continue its northerly track this morning. Rain bands continue to affect mainly Calhoun and Victoria counties with heavy rain and gusty winds persisting. Lighter showers are noted through the remainder of the Northern Coastal Bend. As Beryl continues to pull out of the area, associated hazardous weather will exit by later this morning. Wind gusts to 75 mph have been noted in the Matagorda Bay area and at Port O`Connor. As the storm exits, a very warm day is expected across much of the area. With lingering low level moisture, this will lead to heat index values topping 110 in the southern Coastal Plains this afternoon, thus a heat advisory is in effect. High temperatures will top 100 west today with mid and upper 90s for the southern coastal bend. Slightly cooler in the northern coastal bend due to lingering clouds from Beryl through the morning. NBM is indicating low rain chances this afternoon inland of the coast, however think this chance to be minimal so will have silent PoPs. A much quieter night tonight with lows in the mid and upper 70s due to lingering surface humidity. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 432 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 After having Beryl to talk about for more than a week now, the long term period is going to seem rather boring - but we`re ok with that. Mid level troughing will remain in place through late in the week and will keep rain chances in the forecast, mainly a diurnal sea breeze situation. Tuesday/Wednesday looks to be a bit healthier of a sea breeze with scattered activity. Later in the week, we`re back to our normal isolated coverage. High temperatures remain at or slightly above normal tomorrow, but drop back a couple of degrees for the latter half of the week, mainly in the 90s. We may need another heat advisory Tuesday for the southern Coastal Plains. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 Hurricane Beryl continues to move northward toward the Matagorda area. Most of the rain is currently over the waters and approaching the VCT TAF site. The highest chance for TSRAs is across the VCT area as rain bands rotate around Beryl through the overnight hours. Showers remain possible across CRP, with the lowest chances for ALI. Generally expecting MVFR conditions with periods of IFR through the night across VCT, then improving by mid to late Monday morning. MVFR conditions also expected to prevail at CRP with possible showers through early morning. Brief MVFR CIGs expected at ALI. COT and LRD are expected to remain VFR through the TAF period with the eastern TAF sites following suit through Monday morning as Beryl exits the area. Additional, isolated to scattered showers are possible during the day across the eastern TAF sites. Strongest winds are expected at VCT over the next several hours as Beryl moves just east of the area. && .MARINE... Issued at 432 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024 Tropical storm Beryl continues to produce tropical storm conditions over the waters. The storm is slowly deepening and could become a hurricane before moving out of the middle Texas waters. Hurricane conditions are possible tonight into early Monday with wave heights up to 17 to 22 feet. Gradually improving conditions can be expected late Monday through the middle of the week. Expect widespread showers and thunderstorms through Monday, with scattered thunderstorms lingering through the end of the week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 98 79 95 79 / 10 10 20 10 Victoria 90 75 92 75 / 40 20 30 10 Laredo 102 80 101 79 / 0 10 20 10 Alice 101 77 98 76 / 10 10 20 10 Rockport 93 81 93 80 / 40 20 20 20 Cotulla 102 79 98 79 / 10 10 20 10 Kingsville 100 79 98 78 / 10 10 20 10 Navy Corpus 96 82 91 81 / 20 10 20 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Hurricane Warning for TXZ234-247-347-447. Flood Watch until 10 AM CDT this morning for TXZ234-247-347-447. Heat Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ241>244-342>344-442-443. Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM CDT Tuesday for TXZ245-342>345- 442-443. High Rip Current Risk through this evening for TXZ345-442-443- 447. Coastal Flood Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 AM CDT Tuesday for TXZ346-347-447. Storm Surge Warning for TXZ347-447. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ231- 232. Hurricane Warning for GMZ236-237-255-275. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ250-270. && $$ SHORT TERM...PH/83 LONG TERM....PH/83 AVIATION...TE