Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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297
FNUS74 KBMX 071130
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for 721...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
630 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CDT on July 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Hot and humid conditions will continue through the period, with
scattered showers and thunderstorms each day. Best chances today
will be after 2 PM, but are possible after 11 AM. No high
wind or low humidity impacts are expected through the period.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 50 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1000, then 2 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 3 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 5 mph early in the afternoon, then
                    shifting to the east late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 20 late in the morning.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  54  48  43  42  50  59  59  59  66  66
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  10  10  20  20  20  40  40  40  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............76  78  81  85  86  89  90  91  92  91  90
RH..............97  91  82  72  70  61  58  56  54  56  58
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   NE  NW  W   W   N   N   N
20 FT wind dir..050 060 070 070 030 300 260 290 340 000 350
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.1 1.8 2.4 3.3 4.2 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.5 3.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SW  SW  S   SE  E   E
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..2   2   2   2   15  24  19  19  20  20  17
LVORI...........7   7   7   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    evening. Slight chance of showers in the late
                    evening and overnight.
CWR.................50 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
LAL.................3 until 2200, then 2 until 0100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 7 mph shifting to the south 5 to
                    7 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....12 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........66  59  61  66  70  65  64  63  58  54  46  42
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............50  40  40  40  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10
LAL.............3   3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............89  85  83  80  79  78  78  77  77  76  75  75
RH..............59  70  77  85  91  94  94  97  97  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   S   SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind dir..320 300 260 190 150 160 170 170 190 220 240 230
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.5   5   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   6   5
Dispersion idx..16  7   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
LVORI...........2   4   4   4   6   6   6   9   9   9   9   9

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 60 percent in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 5 mph.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 22 late in the morning.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  32  35  32  32  47  62  77  77  77  77  72
Weather cov.....                            LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  60  60  60  60  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............74  76  78  81  85  87  89  91  91  92  92  90
RH..............100 100 94  85  75  68  64  60  60  56  56  62
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind dir..200 180 200 230 240 240 230 230 230 220 210 180
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.4   5   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.3 2.0 2.8 3.6 4.5 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 3.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..2   2   2   2   2   21  26  20  19  19  19  17
LVORI...........9   7   7   7   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Aaron
Requested by...SAIRY NEAL
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417531.2/BMX
.DELDT 07/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0