Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS

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FONT12 KNHC 080908
PWSAT2

HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
0900 UTC MON JUL 08 2024

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

GFMX 280N 930W 34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  1  14(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

FORT POLK LA   34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CAMERON LA     34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

JASPER TX      34  7  12(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

KOUNTZE TX     34 26   6(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  7   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

GALVESTON TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GALVESTON TX   50 13   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

HOUSTON TX     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HOUSTON TX     50 27   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
HOUSTON TX     64  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

FREEPORT TX    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FREEPORT TX    50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FREEPORT TX    64 66   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)

GFMX 280N 950W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 280N 950W 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34 45   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)

MATAGORDA TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MATAGORDA TX   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MATAGORDA TX   64  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PORT O CONNOR  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PORT O CONNOR  50 19   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN