Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
003
FNUS53 KAPX 050802
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
402 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
...Rounds of showers and storms today...
.DISCUSSION...Showers will spread across parts of northern Michigan this morning
before numerous storms are expected across the area beginning early
this afternoon. Best chances for storms will last into this evening
with isolated to scattered showers lingering into Saturday morning.
Mainly light east winds around 5-10 mph are expected through this
afternoon before turning to north/northwest winds by Saturday. Highs
mainly in the low to mid 70s are in store for this afternoon while
some areas near Saginaw Bay warm into the upper 70s/low 80s. RH
concerns are not anticipated for the next several days.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-052015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
402 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated
thunderstorms until 1200. Numerous rain
showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......27 percent wetter...except 20 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (188).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.17- 0.48 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous rain
showers and scattered thunderstorms until 2400,
then scattered rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
north after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.29 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (289).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-052015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
402 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms until 1200, then rain showers
and scattered thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 8 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (220).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.48 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous rain
showers and scattered thunderstorms until 2400,
then scattered rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.37 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (315).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
$$
MIZ020-025>027-052015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
402 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered
showers until 1200. Scattered thunderstorms.
Numerous showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 60-65 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (185).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.29- 0.52 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous rain
showers and scattered thunderstorms until 2400,
then scattered rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.29 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1200, then
mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 61-66 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........65-70 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 6 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (300).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
$$
MIZ031>033-052015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
402 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 1200. Scattered thunderstorms.
Numerous rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter...except 27 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (219).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.31- 0.59 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous rain
showers and scattered thunderstorms until 2400,
then scattered rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.38 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........65-70 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (350).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-052015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
402 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms until 1200, then showers and
numerous thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (317).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.23- 0.58 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
scattered thunderstorms until 2400, then
scattered rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.20- 0.38 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (344).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.15 in.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS
AROUND 80. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
DJC