205
FNUS75 KVEF 172203
FWSVEF

Spot Forecast for Gulch Fire...Suwyn Type 3 IMT
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
303 PM PDT Wed Jul 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on July 18.

If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast...please contact our office at
(702) 263-9750.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will develop
near the area of concern on Thursday and Friday afternoon and
evening. Any storms that form may produce strong outflow winds up
to 50 mph, brief heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning. Besides
thunderstorms, afternoon temperatures will be hot with highs in
the upper 90s to low 100s. Overnight humidity recovery will be in
the 30 to 40 percent range on Thursday night and the 25 to 35
percent range on Friday night.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    through the day. Chance of showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 100.
Min humidity........12-15 percent.
Winds:
  20 ft winds.......Northeast winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
  10000 ft winds....Southwest around 10 mph.
CWR (>= 0.10).......0 percent.
LAL.................2.
Mixing height.......14900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South up to 10 knots.
Haines Index........4.
Ventilation.........Excellent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....76-79.
Max humidity........33-36 percent.
Winds:
  20 ft winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast up to 5 mph overnight. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the evening.
  10000 ft winds....West around 15 mph.
CWR (>= 0.10).......0 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.
Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast up to 5 knots.
Haines Index........4.
Ventilation.........Excellent.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....99-102.
Min humidity........12-15 percent.
Winds:
  20 ft winds.......South winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west
                    around 5 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
  10000 ft winds....West around 10 mph.
CWR (>= 0.10).......0 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Mixing height.......13700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots.
Haines Index........3.
Ventilation.........Excellent.

$$
Forecaster...Meltzer
Requested by...Richard Jaros
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418314.0/VEF
.DELDT 07/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL richard.jaros@usda.gov