Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
189
FNUS55 KTWC 052118
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
218 PM MST Fri Jul 5 2024
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...There will be the daily chance for isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly from Tucson south and
east into early next week. High pressure aloft will build to our
northwest through the weekend into early next week, which will
result in excessive heat. With the hotter temperatures and some
of the deeper moisture getting pushed to the south and east of the
region, min RH values will lower into the 10-18% range across the
lower elevations and 15-30% in the higher elevations into the
middle of next week. Hot high temperature are expected through
early next week, with highs 109-114 degrees from Tucson westward
and up to 110 in the Gila River Valley. Outside of any thunderstorm
outflow winds, 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or less
each afternoon with occasional gusts to 20-25 mph through the
weekend. Early next week there will be the potential for more
elevated wind speeds in the 15-20 mph range, especially east of
Tucson.
AZZ150-061415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
218 PM MST Fri Jul 5 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........104 to 114 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............13495 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 15 knots shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (134950 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........103 to 113 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............9040 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 13 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (144640 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 73 to 83. Highs 105 to 115. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 9 to 18 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 105 to 115. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 104 to 114. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 103 to 113.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 102 to 112.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-061415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
218 PM MST Fri Jul 5 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14548 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 10 knots shifting to the northwest
12 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (174576 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............14 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............10437 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 12 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (156555 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 98 to 108. West wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 17 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 97 to 107. Southeast wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
11 to 20 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 68 to
78. Highs 94 to 104.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-061415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
218 PM MST Fri Jul 5 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 19 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the north
in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14576 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 11 knots shifting to the northwest
12 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (174912 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............12537 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 14 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (225666 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 16 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 94 to 104. Northeast wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 12 to 20 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 67 to
77. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-061415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
218 PM MST Fri Jul 5 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14939 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 11 knots shifting to the northwest
15 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (224085 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 19 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15747 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 15 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (314940 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 60 to 70.
Highs 87 to 97. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity
8 to 13 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
16 to 26 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 68. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
15 to 25 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 84 to 94.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 60 to
70. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-061415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
218 PM MST Fri Jul 5 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14961 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 10 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (157090 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............13611 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 13 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (197359 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 87 to 97. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 19 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
13 to 23 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 64 to
74. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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