Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
304
FNUS55 KTWC 181056
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
356 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Deeper moisture remains across southeast Arizona,
with typical mid July moisture levels expected through at least the
upcoming weekend. This will result in the daily cycle of mainly
afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. The main threats
will be strong, gusty and erratic outflow winds and heavy rainfall
leading to localized flash flooding. Minimum relative humidity
values will be 20-30 percent in most lower elevation locations and
25-40 percent in mountain areas. Away from thunderstorms, 20-foot
winds will generally be 15 mph or less, with afternoon/early evening
gusts to 20-25 mph and light winds overnight. Wind direction during
the afternoon will primarily be southwest through northwest into the
weekend.
AZZ150-182215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
356 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........101 to 111 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............13561 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 9 knots shifting to the north 8
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (108488 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........77 to 87 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming south around 10 mph
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........102 to 112 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 15 mph decreasing to
around 5 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11342 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 9 knots shifting to the northwest
10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (113420 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 77 to 87. Highs 102 to 112. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
16 to 26 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
19 to 29 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 98 to 108.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 74 to 84. Highs 98 to 108.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-182215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
356 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 15 mph becoming southeast
around 5 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............12355 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 9 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (160615 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10295 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 10 knots shifting to the north 9
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (92655 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs
91 to 101. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
30 to 40 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 90 to 100.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-182215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
356 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............17 to 27 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11633 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 12 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (197761 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9996 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (109956 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 68 to 78.
Highs 93 to 103. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 65 to 75. Highs
89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 25 to 35 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
27 to 37 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 88 to 98.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-182215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
356 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............12267 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 13 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (184005 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8544 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 8 knots shifting to the north 11
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (93984 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 83 to
93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 79 to
89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 57 to 67. Highs
77 to 87. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 57 to 67. Highs
77 to 87.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-182215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
356 AM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............14185 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 11 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (184405 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............12718 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 10 knots shifting to the northeast
9 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (114462 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
26 to 36 pct.
.SUNDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 61 to
71. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 70. Highs
78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 78 to 88.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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