Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
219 FNUS55 KTWC 060918 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 218 AM MST Sat Jul 6 2024 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION...There will be the daily chance for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly from Tucson south and east into early next week. High pressure aloft will build to our northwest through the weekend into early next week, which will result in hot conditions. With the hotter temperatures and some of the deeper moisture getting pushed to the south and east of the region, min RH values will lower into the 10-17% range across the lower elevations and 14-25% in the higher elevations into the middle of next week. Hot high temperature are expected through at least Tuesday, with highs 106-113 degrees from Tucson westward and in the Gila River Valley, and in the upper 90s to 105 degrees across Santa Cruz and Cochise counties. Excessive Heat will be an issue during this time frame. Outside of any thunderstorm outflow winds, 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with occasional gusts to 20-25 mph through the weekend. The exception will be in the upper Gila Rover valley near Safford on Sunday where northwest winds of 20-25 mph and higher gusts are expected. Early next week elevated wind speeds in the 15-20 mph range will be possible mainly to the east of Tucson. AZZ150-062215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 218 AM MST Sat Jul 6 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........103 to 113 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 15 mph decreasing to around 5 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............10785 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 13 knots shifting to the west 10 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (107850 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............49 to 59 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........103 to 113 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............9114 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 15 knots shifting to the west 14 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (127596 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 73 to 83. Highs 104 to 114. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 8 to 17 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 105 to 115. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 103 to 113. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 104 to 114. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 103 to 113. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-062215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 218 AM MST Sat Jul 6 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............14 to 23 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............14200 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 7 knots shifting to the north 10 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (142000 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............10404 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 13 to 18 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (187272 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 97 to 107. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 16 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 20 pct. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 95 to 105. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-062215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 218 AM MST Sat Jul 6 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the northeast in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............13088 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 8 knots shifting to the northwest 12 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (157056 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............51 to 61 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............12465 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 14 to 20 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (249300 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 97 to 107. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 15 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 20 pct. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-062215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 218 AM MST Sat Jul 6 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............12150 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 9 knots shifting to the northwest 11 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (133650 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............8 to 18 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............15087 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 16 to 23 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (347001 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 87 to 97. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 12 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 16 to 25 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 15 to 23 pct. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 84 to 94. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-062215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 218 AM MST Sat Jul 6 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............14103 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northeast 9 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (126927 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............48 to 58 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............13468 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 17 to 18 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (235690 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 86 to 96. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 85 to 95. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94. Northeast wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson