Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
389
FNUS55 KTWC 072154
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
254 PM MST Sun Jul 7 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Excessive heat continues through early this coming
week with highs 106-113 degrees from Tucson westward and in the Gila
River Valley, and in the upper 90s to 105 degrees across Santa Cruz
and Cochise counties. As moisture has pushed south of the region,
minimum relative humidities will lower into the 10-17% range across
the lower elevations and 14-25% range in the higher elevations into
the middle of the week. Monday should see the driest conditions with
the lowest relative humidity values falling into the single digits.
Winds today will be highest in the upper Gila River valley near
Safford this afternoon where northwest winds of 20 to 25 mph and
gusts to around 35 mph are expected. Otherwise, 20-foot winds will
generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with occasional gusts to
20-25 mph. Moisture begins to return Tuesday onwards as well as
chances for thunderstorms.
AZZ150-081515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
254 PM MST Sun Jul 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........105 to 115 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 19 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14400 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 10 knots shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (216000 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........105 to 115 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 19 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15837 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 10 knots shifting to the west 12
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (190044 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 104 to 114. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 104 to 114. Southwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 103 to 113. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
14 to 24 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 74 to 84. Highs 99 to 109.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 97 to 107.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-081515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
254 PM MST Sun Jul 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 20 to 24 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph increasing to
west around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 25 mph decreasing to
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............12229 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 11 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (232351 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............15691 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 11 knots shifting to the north
15 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (235365 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 12 to 21 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 96 to 106. Northeast wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 68 to
78. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
67 to 77. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-081515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
254 PM MST Sun Jul 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 12 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15418 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 12 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (292942 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. West around 20 mph shifting to
the southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............13634 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 14 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (231778 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. East wind around 20 mph. Minimum
Humidity 12 to 20 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. East wind around 20 mph. Minimum
Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 67 to
77. Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-081515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
254 PM MST Sun Jul 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 30 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15616 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 16 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (281088 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 15 mph decreasing to around
5 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............13126 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 13 knots shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (170638 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 15 to 23 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
17 to 27 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
17 to 27 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
60 to 70. Highs 82 to 92.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 70. Highs
81 to 91.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-081515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
254 PM MST Sun Jul 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............34 to 44 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 20 to 24 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 17 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 25 mph decreasing to
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............16596 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 13 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (257238 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............49 to 59 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 20 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............15889 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 12 knots shifting to the north in
the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (190668 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. Northeast wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94. Northeast wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 63 to
73. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
63 to 73. Highs 81 to 91.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
62 to 72. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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