Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
937
FNUS55 KTWC 050928
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
226 AM MST Fri Jul 5 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...There will be the daily chance for isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly from Tucson south and
east into early next week. High pressure aloft will build to our
northwest through the weekend into early next week, which will
result in hot conditions. With the hotter temperatures and some of
the deeper moisture getting pushed to the south and east of the
region, min RH values will lower into the 10-18% range across the
lower elevations and 15-30% in the higher elevations into the middle
of next week. Hot high temperature are expected through early next
week, with highs 106-113 degrees from Tucson westward and in the
Gila River Valley, and in the upper 90s to 105 degrees across Santa
Cruz and Cochise counties. Excessive Heat will be an issue during
this time frame. Outside of any thunderstorm outflow winds, 20-foot
winds will generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with
occasional gusts to 20-25 mph through the weekend. Early next week
there will be the potential for more elevated wind speeds in the 15-
20 mph range, especially east of Tucson.
AZZ150-052215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
226 AM MST Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........103 to 113 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 20 mph becoming east
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............13412 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 7 knots shifting to the north
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (93884 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........102 to 112 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14645 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 11 knots shifting to the
northwest 9 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (131805 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 101 to 111.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 73 to 83. Highs 104 to 114. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 104 to 114. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 103 to 113.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 103 to 113.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-052215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
226 AM MST Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming north around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 20 mph decreasing to
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............12735 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 9 knots shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (114615 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............55 to 65 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14952 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 8 knots shifting to the north
10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (149520 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 94 to 104. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 15 to 24 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 15 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
11 to 21 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 95 to 105.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-052215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
226 AM MST Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 17 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northeast around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14719 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 8 to 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (132471 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the north
in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............13169 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 8 knots shifting to the north
10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (131690 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 95 to 105. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 97 to 107. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 7 to 14 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 12 to 22 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 93 to 103.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-052215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
226 AM MST Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 12 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15856 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 7 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (158560 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15344 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 8 knots shifting to the northwest
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (199472 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 87 to 97. Northwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 87 to 97. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 12 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
16 to 24 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 83 to 93.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-052215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
226 AM MST Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 20 mph decreasing to
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15618 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (187416 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14965 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 10 knots shifting to the north 9
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (134685 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 84 to 94. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 87 to 97. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 9 to 18 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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