Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
099
FNUS55 KTWC 182025
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
125 PM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Deeper moisture remains across southeast Arizona,
with typical July moisture levels expected into at least early next
week. This will result in the daily cycle of mainly afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms. The main threats will be strong,
gusty and erratic outflow winds and heavy rainfall leading to
localized flash flooding. Minimum relative humidity values will be
20-30 percent in most lower elevation locations and 25-40 percent in
mountain areas. Away from thunderstorms, 20-foot winds will
generally be 15 mph or less, with afternoon/early evening gusts to
20-25 mph and light winds overnight. Wind direction during the
afternoon hours will primarily be west to northwest through the
weekend, especially from Tucson westward and in the upper Gila
River valley.
AZZ150-191415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
125 PM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........77 to 87 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........102 to 112 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 15 mph decreasing to
around 5 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11669 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 7 knots shifting to the north 9
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (105021 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............43 to 53 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........102 to 112 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............17 to 27 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11508 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 7 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (149604 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 77 to 87. Highs 100 to 110. Southwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 74 to 84. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
20 to 30 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 99 to 109.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-191415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
125 PM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast around 25 mph
decreasing to around 15 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10428 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 8 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (114708 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Light winds becoming west around
25 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10179 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 6 knots increasing to 18 knots in
the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (183222 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
67 to 77.
Highs 91 to 101. Northeast wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity
26 to 36 pct.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 65 to 75. Highs
89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
26 to 36 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 67 to 77.
Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-191415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
125 PM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast around 30 mph
decreasing to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph increasing to
south around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10179 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 8 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (162864 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 20 mph decreasing to
around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Light winds becoming west around
30 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10402 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 5 knots increasing to northwest 22
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (228844 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 89 to 99. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
64 to 74. Highs 87 to 97. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity
28 to 38 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 88 to 98. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-191415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
125 PM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............62 to 72 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East around 25 mph becoming
southeast around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming south around 20 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9645 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 6 knots shifting to the
southeast 15 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (144675 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Light winds becoming west around
30 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9584 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 5 knots increasing to 21 knots
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (201264 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
59 to 69. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41
pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
57 to 67. Highs 76 to 86. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 35 to 45
pct.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 57 to 67. Highs
77 to 87. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 58 to 68.
Highs 79 to 89.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 59 to 69.
Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-191415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
125 PM MST Thu Jul 18 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10929 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 9 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (109290 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms
likely.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 20 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11727 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 6 knots increasing to north 17
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (199359 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 79
to 89. Northeast wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 70. Highs
77 to 87. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
31 to 41 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 61 to 71. Highs
80 to 90.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 62 to 72.
Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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