Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
810 FNUS55 KTWC 201349 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 649 AM MST Sat Jul 20 2024 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION...Deeper moisture remains across southeast Arizona, with typical July moisture levels expected into at least early next week. This will result in the daily cycle of mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. The main threats will be strong, gusty and erratic outflow winds and heavy rainfall leading to localized flash flooding. Minimum relative humidity values will be 20-30 percent in most lower elevation locations and 25-40 percent in mountain areas. Away from thunderstorms, 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or less, with afternoon/early evening gusts to 20-25 mph and light winds overnight. Wind direction during the afternoon hours will primarily be west to northwest through the weekend, especially from Tucson westward and in the upper Gila River Valley. AZZ150-202215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 649 AM MST Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........101 to 111 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............12009 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 11 knots shifting to the west 9 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (108081 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........76 to 86 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............52 to 62 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10050 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 9 knots shifting to the northwest 10 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (100500 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 97 to 107. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 96 to 106. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-202215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 649 AM MST Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 15 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............9783 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 7 to 9 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (88047 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............68 to 78 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........50 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............9444 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........East 7 knots shifting to the north 11 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (103884 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 30 to 40 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct. .THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 90 to 100. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 89 to 99. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-202215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 649 AM MST Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Light winds becoming northwest around 25 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................5. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10878 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 6 to 12 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (130536 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............66 to 76 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 20 mph becoming southeast around 10 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs. * Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................5. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10519 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northeast 10 to 11 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (115709 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct. .THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100. .FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 89 to 99. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-202215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 649 AM MST Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 20 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........80 pct. * LAL......................5. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............9269 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........North 7 to 12 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (111228 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............73 to 83 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs. * Min Humidity.............38 to 48 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................5. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............6192 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........East 9 knots shifting to the northwest 11 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Good (68112 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 77 to 87. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 32 to 42 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct. .THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 80 to 90. .FRIDAY...Thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-202215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 649 AM MST Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 15 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................5. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............13433 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 7 to 8 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (100747 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............65 to 75 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the east after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........80 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............40 to 50 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................5. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............11024 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........East 8 knots shifting to the north 10 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (110240 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 32 to 42 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct. .THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 80 to 90. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 78 to 88. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson