Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
073
FNUS55 KTWC 150943
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
243 AM MST Mon Jul 15 2024
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Deeper moisture has moved back into southeast
Arizona and typical mid July moisture levels are expected through
the week. This will result in the daily cycle of mainly afternoon
and evening showers and thunderstorms, with the potential for more
widespread rainfall. The main threats will be strong, gusty and
erratic outflow winds and heavy rainfall leading to localized flash
flooding. Minimum relative humidity values will be 20-30 percent in
most lower elevation locations and 30-45 percent in mountain areas.
Away from thunderstorms, 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or
less, with afternoon/early evening gusts to 20-25 mph and light
winds overnight. The exception will be in the upper Gila River
valley around Safford, where afternoon/early evening winds will be
west-northwest at 15-20 mph and gusts to 25-30 mph through Tuesday.
Wind direction will primarily be southwest through northwest
through most of the week.
AZZ150-152215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
243 AM MST Mon Jul 15 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8127 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 11 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (97524 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9073 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 11 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (108876 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
19 to 29 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 99 to 109.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 98 to 108.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-152215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
243 AM MST Mon Jul 15 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8887 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 11 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (133305 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9358 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (131012 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
66 to 76. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 25 to
35 pct.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 25 to
35 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
26 to 36 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 91 to 101.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 89 to 99.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-152215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
243 AM MST Mon Jul 15 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10522 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 12 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (147308 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............65 to 75 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............13696 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 13 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (191744 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 19 to
29 pct.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
23 to 33 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-152215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
243 AM MST Mon Jul 15 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11098 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 11 knots shifting to the west 14
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (155372 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11921 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 10 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (166894 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 70.
Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 18 to 27 pct.
.THURSDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows
59 to 69. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 27 to
37 pct.
.FRIDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 60 to
70. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 70.
Highs 81 to 91.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 58 to 68. Highs
77 to 87.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-152215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
243 AM MST Mon Jul 15 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............13000 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 12 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (162500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............14187 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 12 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (177337 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
61 to 71. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 26 to
36 pct.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
30 to 40 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 63 to
73. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 63 to 73.
Highs 80 to 90.
.SUNDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 61 to
71. Highs 77 to 87.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson