Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Graphics & Text |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
147
FNUS75 KTFX 191721
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Dalton Fire...Southwest Monana Incident Management Team
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1121 AM MDT Fri Jul 19 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MDT on July 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Hot and dry conditions, along with light winds are expected over
the fire for the next several days. Ridgetop wind gusts around 15
mph are expected during the afternoon hours under a dry and deeply
mixed surface layer. Overnight humidity recovery is moderate. The
upper level ridge is forecast to weaken for the middle of next
week, producing stronger southwest winds.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Haze.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....89-94.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
 Ridgetop...........West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........7      7      7
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....HAZE   HAZE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1
Temp............82     87     91
RH..............22     15     14
20 ft wind......W 5    W 5    W 10
20 ft wind gust.10     15     15
Ridgetop wind...W 10   W 10   W 15
Haines index....4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Haze.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....50-55.
Max humidity........60-65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Variable winds calm to 5 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to
                    northeast.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........9      7      6      6      5      5
Weather cov.....              DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............92     88     73     64     60     55
RH..............14     19     31     45     51     56
20 ft wind......NW 10  N 5    NE 5   E 5    SE 5   SE 5
20 ft wind gust.15     10     10     10
Ridgetop wind...W 15   NW 10  N 10   E 10   E 5    NE 5
Haines index....4      4      M      M      M      M

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Haze.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....90-95.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East-Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast 5 to 10 mph, gusting 15 to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth early in the morning.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........5      4      4      20     20     29
Weather cov.....DEFNTE               DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....HAZE   NONE   NONE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............52     61     77     87     92     93
RH..............61     49     36     20     16     16
20 ft wind......SE 5   E 0    E 0    NE 5   NE 5   NE 5
20 ft wind gust.       5      5      10     10     20
Ridgetop wind...NE 5   NE 5   NE 5   N 5    NE 5   NE 5
Haines index....M      4      4      4      4      4

$$
Forecaster...Nutter
Requested by...Tavis Campbell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418354.10/TFX
.DELDT 07/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL campbelltavis@gmail.com, tfx.ops@noaa.gov, mthdc@fire.net