Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FNUS72 KTBW 100915
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Spot Forecast for SFWMD - Huckleberry Island 4...South Florida Water Management District
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
515 AM EDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on July 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
No fire weather hazards are expected as sufficient moisture will
keep minimum afternoon relative humidity values well above
critical levels and overall winds will remain less than 10 mph.
Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected which
could cause gusty and erratic winds.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) late morning, then
                    becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) by late
                    afternoon. Scattered afternoon showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 39.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........35     40     45     50
Weather cov.....       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....       RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).10     30     40     50
Temp............87     91     92     90
RH..............71     61     58     61
20 ft wind......S 3    SW 4   SW 5   SW 5
20 ft wind gust.6      8      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....3100   4100   4900   5300
Transport wind..SW 3   SW 5   SW 6   SW 7
Dispersion idx..13     22     33     39
LVORI...........3      2      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) late in the
                    evening and overnight. Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 9 mph shifting to the west 3 to
                    5 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....29 decreasing to 1.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........65     65     55     50     45     40
Weather cov.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).50     30     30     10     0      0
Temp............89     83     80     78     78     76
RH..............65     77     83     86     89     95
20 ft wind......SW 5   S 3    SW 2   S 2    SW 1   SW 1
20 ft wind gust.8      7      5      3      3      3
Mix hgt (ft)....3800   800    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..SW 7   S 8    SW 7   W 3    W 3    NW 3
Dispersion idx..29     4      2      2      1      1
LVORI...........2      4      5      6      7      7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) in the morning,
                    then becoming mostly cloudy (55-65 percent)
                    in the afternoon. Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms around midday, then numerous
                    showers and scattered thunderstorms mid to
                    late afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 39.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........35     30     30     40     55     65
Weather cov.....                     ISOLTD NUMRUS NUMRUS
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     20     60     60
Temp............75     77     84     89     91     90
RH..............96     94     79     67     62     64
20 ft wind......SW 1   S 2    S 3    S 4    S 5    S 5
20 ft wind gust.3      3      5      7      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    2100   3800   5200   5000
Transport wind..SW 3   SW 3   SW 4   SW 5   SW 6   SW 6
Dispersion idx..1      2      10     22     39     39
LVORI...........7      7      4      3      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Close
Requested by...James Blush
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2517689.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jblush@sfwmd.gov