Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FNUS72 KTBW 141449
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Spot Forecast for CI03 Prescribed Burn...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1049 AM EDT Wed Aug 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on August 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Increasing moisture through Thursday as a weak front approaches
the state. Light northwesterly winds today, turning northeasterly
on Thursday. Scattered shower/thunderstorm chances during the
afternoon hours as the sea breeze pushes inland. Then, drier air
on Friday with slightly higher dispersions expected. No headlines
anticipated.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 70.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........26     28     29     48     48
Weather cov.....                     SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     50     50
LAL.............1      1      1      3      3
Temp............76     83     88     91     88
RH..............96     77     66     58     62
20 ft wind......NE 5   NE 6   NE 8   NE 9   NE 9
20 ft wind gust.9      10     12     13     15
Mix hgt (ft)....600    2400   4000   4700   4000
Transport wind..NE 7   NE 9   NE 9   NE 12  E 14
Dispersion idx..7      25     48     65     73
LVORI...........6      3      1      1      1

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................3 until 2000, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....50 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........48     28     21     16     15     15
Weather cov.....SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).50     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............3      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............85     81     79     77     75     73
RH..............67     73     78     82     87     95
20 ft wind......E 8    E 8    NE 6   NE 5   NE 3   NE 3
20 ft wind gust.16     16     15     13     12     10
Mix hgt (ft)....2700   800    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 15   E 14   E 13   E 12   E 10   E 10
Dispersion idx..50     9      4      5      5      4
LVORI...........1      3      4      4      5      7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 78.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........12     8      6      8      12     15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............73     74     81     86     89     88
RH..............96     88     69     58     52     54
20 ft wind......NE 3   NE 5   E 6    E 7    NE 7   NE 8
20 ft wind gust.10     12     13     14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....500    600    2500   4300   5900   6400
Transport wind..E 10   NE 10  E 12   E 12   E 12   NE 10
Dispersion idx..4      10     35     60     76     81
LVORI...........7      5      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...ADavis
Requested by...Thomas Bastien
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2420245.0/TBW
.DELDT 08/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.bastien@fdacs.gov