Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FNUS72 KTBW 140744
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Spot Forecast for EB-29 RX...Florida State Parks
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
344 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure holding over the area will keep light flow in place,
with east winds in the morning turning onshore with the afternoon
sea breeze. Numerous thunderstorms will develop each day during the
early afternoon, and will linger through the early evening hours.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Numerous showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the west
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 9 mph shifting to the north around 7
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 29 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........10     22     19     30     46
Weather cov.....              ISOLTD SCTTRD NUMRUS
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     20     50     60
LAL.............1      1      2      2      2
Temp............82     88     91     93     91
RH..............93     76     67     60     65
20 ft wind......E 5    E 6    E 6    SW 6   W 6
20 ft wind gust.8      9      9      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....1500   3100   4000   3700   2800
Transport wind..E 8    SE 8   E 6    E 6    N 7
Dispersion idx..15     31     31     28     25
LVORI...........5      3      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Numerous showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 5 mph early in the evening,
                    then becoming light in the late evening and
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 5 to 7 mph early in the evening, then
                    shifting to the southeast 6 to 8 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....14 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........48     61     49     43     33     29
Weather cov.....NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).70     40     30     10     0      0
LAL.............2      2      2      1      1      1
Temp............90     85     82     81     80     78
RH..............69     80     84     86     89     92
20 ft wind......SW 6   NW 5   NE 3   E 3    E 3    E 3
20 ft wind gust.9      7      7      7      8      7
Mix hgt (ft)....1900   900    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..SW 7   NE 5   NE 6   E 7    SE 8   SE 7
Dispersion idx..18     3      2      4      4      3
LVORI...........3      4      5      6      6      6

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Isolated showers
                    early in the morning. Isolated thunderstorms
                    early in the morning. Numerous showers late in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0800, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the
                    morning and early afternoon, then shifting to
                    the southeast around 7 mph late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 7 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 20 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 35 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 40 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 26.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........20     16     21     19     27     38
Weather cov.....       ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD NUMRUS NUMRUS
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      20     20     20     70     70
LAL.............1      2      2      2      2      2
Temp............78     79     85     90     91     90
RH..............94     93     81     70     64     66
20 ft wind......E 3    E 5    E 6    E 7    E 7    SE 7
20 ft wind gust.7      8      8      9      10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....400    600    2000   3800   4900   3200
Transport wind..E 6    E 6    E 6    E 7    E 7    NE 7
Dispersion idx..3      6      16     31     41     30
LVORI...........6      6      3      3      1      2

$$
Forecaster...Fleming
Requested by...Steven Bass
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2417950.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Steven.Bass@Floridadep.gov