253
FXUS62 KTBW 180038
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
838 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 813 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

Most of the convection over SW portions of the state should
dissipate over the next few hours with mostly clear skies prevail.
Storm chances increase later in the morning near the coast and
push inland along the sea breeze. Drier air should limit coverage
especially early. Temperatures warm up a few degrees in the
afternoon with highs in the mid areas at most locations.

No changes were made to the forecast as it remains on track.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 732 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

MVFR conditions possible in RSW/FMY as storms gradually diminish
through the evening, VFR conditions anticipated after 01Z. Light
and variable prevail overnight/morning hours becoming west to
northwest as the sea breeze moves inland. Shower and storm
chances increase through the day, but pockets of drier air may
limit how much convection develops and it may also delay it in
some areas. Gusty and erratic winds possible near storms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  91  78  93  80 /  60  20  40  30
FMY  94  78  93  77 /  30  30  60  20
GIF  95  76  95  77 /  50  20  50  10
SRQ  92  77  93  78 /  40  10  40  30
BKV  92  73  95  75 /  70  20  40  20
SPG  91  81  94  82 /  60  20  40  30

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 6
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Delerme
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...ADavis