139
FXUS62 KTBW 180520
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
120 AM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 119 AM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

A light and variable background flow is favored once again today,
meaning that sea breeze circulations will be dominant during the
afternoon and evening. Showers and thunderstorms are forecast to
develop along these sea breeze boundaries, with some of the highest
potential for thunderstorms at coastal WCFL and SWFL terminals this
afternoon. TEMPOs have been added for windows when impacts are most
likely at each terminal. A short window for IFR is possible, along
with gusty winds, before quieting once more overnight. A slightly
more ESE flow is expected for the next few days to come, keeping
higher chances for thunderstorm impacts in play during subsequent
afternoons through the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  93  80  93  79 /  60  30  70  40
FMY  93  77  93  78 /  70  40  70  20
GIF  95  77  95  77 /  50  40  70  20
SRQ  93  78  93  78 /  60  40  70  40
BKV  95  75  95  75 /  60  30  70  40
SPG  94  82  93  82 /  60  40  70  50

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 1
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

Flannery