793
FXUS64 KSJT 091929
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
229 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 156 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

A developed cumulus field extended from Robert Lee to Cross
Plains at 2 PM CDT. Isolated thunderstorms, if they develop, will
end by late this afternoon.

For Wednesday, with heating, isolated thunderstorms are possible
in the afternoon, mainly along and west of Sterling City to
Sweetwater to Roby line. However any activity should be brief, if
it occurs. The main story will shift the heat, with highs in the
mid and upper 90s, possibly 100 degrees in the Concho Valley.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

Not that much day-to-day change is expected with our weather
through the end of this week into the first part of next week,
with seasonably hot temperatures. An upper high is forecast to be
over eastern Nevada Thursday, and gradually shift east over
Colorado during the weekend. Another high is progged to be over
the western Atlantic, with a westward extension over the Gulf
Coast. There are some differences with the depiction among the
global models, but overall a shear axis will be over our area.
With adequate moisture and a relative weakness in the heights
aloft, parts of our area will have a possibility for isolated or
widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the
afternoon hours, Friday through Sunday. At this point, limited
confidence precludes a specific mention in the forecast other than
Saturday afternoon.

Expect mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies each day, with perhaps a
little more cloud cover Friday and Saturday. Afternoon highs
Thursday, Friday and Sunday will be in the mid to upper 90s, with
the warmest readings (close to 100 degrees) in the Concho Valley and
Big Country. Depending on the extent of cloud cover Saturday, highs
may be a few degrees lower. With some strengthening of the 850mb
thermal ridge Monday and Tuesday, have increased highs a few
degrees. This would result in more locations in our central and
northern counties reaching the triple digits for highs.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

An isolated afternoon thunderstorm possible across the terminals
this afternoon, but will only include VCTS at KJCT until 20Z... as
remnants of morning thunderstorms move southeast. Storm coverage
elsewhere will be too low to include in terminals. Winds will be
light and variable. VFR outside of thunderstorms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     72  96  72  96 /   0  10   0  10
San Angelo  72  99  73  98 /   0  10  10  10
Junction    71  96  71  96 /  10  10   0  10
Brownwood   71  96  71  96 /   0   0   0  10
Sweetwater  72  97  73  96 /   0  20  10  10
Ozona       69  95  71  94 /   0  10  10  10
Brady       71  95  71  94 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...04