555
FXUS64 KSJT 120741
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
241 AM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 239 AM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024

Today`s weather will be similar to the past few days, with highs
ranging from the lower 90s to around 100 degrees. Our southern
counties could see increased cloud cover this afternoon as an
inverted trough starts to set up to our southwest and moisture
increases through the column. This cloud cover will help keep this
area a few degrees cooler compared to areas further north. With the
increase in moisture, precipitable water values are forecast to
approach 1.5 inches in our southeastern counties by this afternoon.
There is a slight chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms in
the I-10 corridor starting this afternoon. Any storms that do
develop will have the potential to produce lightning, gusty winds,
and locally heavy rainfall.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 159 AM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024

Upper level ridge will remain centered near Las Vegas this
weekend, with a secondary high over the gulf coast. Shear axis
will be between them across portions of Texas. Some of the latest
CAMs show at least some scattered convection developing across the
Edwards Plateau north into the Concho Valley on Saturday afternoon
and will continue to include some mention of showers and storms
for this time period.

This shear axis will persist into next week and will effectively
keep some chance for convection across much of the area. Best
chances may end up being Wednesday and Thursday when a little
more shortwave energy rounding the top of the main upper high
moves across the area and may act to provide a little better upper
level support.

As for temperatures, none of the convection looks terribly
widespread enough to drop temperatures very much with highs
mainly in the mid and upper 90s. Hottest readings will be across
the Big Country closer to the center of the main upper high, and a
little cooler across the I-10 corridor which will be both farther
away and more likely to see additional cloud cover and best rain
chances.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1125 PM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

VFR conditions are expected to prevail for the next 24 hours.
Light and variable winds overnight will start to pick up from the
southeast in the afternoon. There is potential for isolated showers
and thunderstorms near KJCT and KSOA in the mid afternoon, however,
it looks like the showers should stay mainly south of our area, so
they have been left out of the TAFs for now.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     97  73  97  74 /   0   0  10   0
San Angelo  98  73  96  73 /   0   0  20  10
Junction    92  73  92  73 /  20  10  30  10
Brownwood   95  71  95  73 /   0   0  10   0
Sweetwater  98  73  97  74 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       92  71  90  72 /   0   0  30  20
Brady       93  71  92  72 /  10   0  20   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AP
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...AP