955
FXUS64 KSJT 131924
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
224 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 224 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024

Isolated to widely scattered showers and a few thunderstorms have
developed across southern sections this afternoon. This activity
will be diurnally driven and will affect areas generally south of
a San Angelo to Brownwood line into the early evening hours
before dissipating. Skies will be mostly clear tonight, although
some low clouds should develop over southern sections towards
daybreak and linger through mid morning. Dry conditions are
expected tomorrow, along with slightly warmer temperatures as the
ridge west of us expands east a bit. Lows tonight will be in the
low to mid 70s, with highs tomorrow ranging from the mid 90s
across southern sections, to the upper 90s to around 100 degrees
elsewhere.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 108 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024

Drier and warmer conditions return Monday into Wednesday. A weak
upper trough, however, will continue over eastern and southern
Texas, so can not exclude one or two showers or thunderstorms
into Wednesday, but the potential will be low, and for the most
part, not be included in the forecast. Main concern Monday into
Wednesday may be a return to 100 degree temperatures over the Big
Country and Concho Valley, as a surface trough brings gusty
southwest winds at times.

A better chance of showers and thunderstorms returns late
Wednesday night into Friday as a weak cold front pushes into the
region and stalls out. Rain/cloud cover should bring highs back
down into the lower to mid 90s. Could see a few areas of locally
heavy rainfall as the atmosphere becomes more more tropical-
like. Gusty winds and dangerous lightning, though, will be the
main concerns.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024

VFR conditions will prevail across the terminals through much of
the period. Isolated to widely scattered convection is possible
across the southern terminals this afternoon. Best chance is at
KJCT and will include a TEMPO thunder group this forecast cycle,
with VCSH/VCTS at KSOA and KJCT. Some stratus development is
possible again across the southern terminals towards daybreak
Sunday morning. Will include MVFR ceilings at KJCT, KBBD and KSOA
after 10Z. South winds will gust to around 18 knots this afternoon
but will subside by sunset.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     74  98  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  73 100  73 101 /   0  10   0  10
Junction    73  95  73  96 /  10   0   0   0
Brownwood   72  97  72  99 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  73  99  74 101 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       72  92  72  95 /  10  10   0  10
Brady       72  96  72  96 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...24