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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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527 FXUS64 KSJT 161800 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 100 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024 ...New LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 318 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024 The upper level ridge will maintain its control over our area today, keeping the forecast hot and dry again. In fact, 850mb temperatures will warm a degree or so across the area, likely resulting in highs being 1 or 2 degrees warmer as well. Areas along and north of Interstate 20 will flirt with Heat Advisory criteria, but most areas should stay one or two degrees below the 105 degree temperature and heat index value needed for an advisory to be issued. Otherwise, mainly clear skies will persist, as well as gusty south winds. For tonight, persistence will prevail with lows mainly in the 70s, and southerly winds from 5 to 15 mph. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1259 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024 Showers and thunderstorms possible beginning Wednesday night and continuing through at least the middle of next week, as upper level ridging is replaced by an upper trough. A weak cold front moving into the region Wednesday night will also bring some low level lift to the region. There is the potential to some locally heavy rainfall and localized flooding, particularly beginning Saturday as precipital water values increase from 1 to 1.5 inches to 1.5 to 2 inches...which would be beneficial to much of the region. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1154 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024 VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours at all terminals. Gusts between 15 to 20 kts will be possible for all terminals this afternoon but should diminish before 00Z. Otherwise, expect southerly winds to continue through the overnight hours with sustained speeds at less than 10 kts. A cold front will approach the KABI terminal late in the period tomorrow morning, causing the wind to begin to shift to a more westerly direction. Showers/storms will also be possible with this frontal passage but most activity looks to hold off until after the 18Z timeframe. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 77 99 73 92 / 0 20 20 40 San Angelo 75 103 74 96 / 0 20 10 50 Junction 73 99 73 95 / 0 10 10 50 Brownwood 74 98 73 93 / 0 20 10 40 Sweetwater 76 100 73 94 / 0 20 20 40 Ozona 72 97 72 94 / 0 10 10 40 Brady 73 98 73 92 / 0 20 10 50 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...20 LONG TERM....04 AVIATION...50