Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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620
FXUS64 KSJT 071832 CCA
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
131 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 458 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

Quieter weather is expected today for our area compared to the
last couple of days. Upper level ridging will nudge in from the
west as Tropical Storm Beryl approaches the middle Texas coast.
With the shortwave ridging overhead this afternoon, expect mostly
sunny and hot conditions. Highs will climb into the upper 90s to
around 102 degrees across the Big Country, western Concho Valley,
and northern Edwards Plateau where 850mb temperatures will be
highest. A cold front will then move into the Big Country
overnight which may lead to scattered shower and thunderstorm
development mainly along and north of the I-20 corridor.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 450 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

Precipitation chances will continue Monday into Tuesday as
another cold front moves into the area from the north. The
front, along with a shortwave trough clipping the area will
allow for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms to
develop. Will maintain low POPs during this time frame. The
remnants of Tropical Storm Beryl and its moisture will stay
to our east as it lifts north across east Texas and the Arklatex
region on Tuesday, so not expecting any effects from it. The NBM
has continued to trend precipitation chances down Wednesday into
Thursday, although cannot rule out a few showers and storms
developing across southern sections during the afternoon hours.
Dry conditions are expected Friday into next weekend.

Temperatures across the area will be cooler for Monday and
Tuesday after the passage of the cold front, with highs ranging
from the mid 80s to mid 90s. Temperatures are then expected to
climb back into the 90s and triple digits by the end of the week
and into next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

Skies will be generally clear over the area this afternoon and
early evening. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected to move or develop into the Big Country from the northwest and
north this evening into tonight. Generally southeast winds this
afternoon will become east tonight. Isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms will be possible on Monday, in our northern
counties in the morning, and across our northern and central
counties in the afternoon. Winds will become north-northeast
Monday with passage of a cold front. Low cloud development (with
MVFR ceilings) is expected in the early to mid-morning hours
Monday, over our northern and eastern counties. Cloud ceilings
will climb over 3000ft in the 15Z-17Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     98  70  88  70 /  10  20  30  10
San Angelo 101  71  94  71 /   0  10  10  30
Junction    96  72  93  71 /   0   0  10  30
Brownwood   96  71  89  69 /   0  10  30  10
Sweetwater 100  70  88  69 /   0  20  30  20
Ozona       97  72  94  70 /   0   0  10  30
Brady       93  71  89  71 /   0   0  20  20

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...19