824
FXUS64 KSHV 090523
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1223 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1057 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

All hazards have been cleared of our Four-State area.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1057 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

We have canceled all of the hazardous watches and warnings during
this last hour, including the wind advisory. TD Beryl continues
to move across NE TX with circulating winds shifting directions on
us all night long. Speeds have come down to below 30KT, but
20-30KT will linger into much of the overnight. NW winds are
driving dew points down over SE OK and NE TX with mid to upper 60s
setting us up for a cooler morning there. Elsewhere, we will keep
low to mid 70s and warmer readings along and east of I-49. Air
temps will be near saturation at times, but too much wind for fog.
Most of the rain will end as misty light rain with a swath of
moderate to occasionally heavy rain is still over SE OK and
portions of NE TX right now, slowly lifting into E OK. A couple
of smaller bands continue to lift NE across SW AR and some of
these maybe heavy at times, but widespread flooding will not be
an issue anywhere further. The tornadic storms in the main band
now stretch from near Little Rock to Greenville and down the MS
River valley to between Alexandria and Lafayette. /24/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

All eyes are highly focused on the short term portion of the
forecast. As such, will make the long term discussion fairly short
and sweet. Overall theme is that we will see increasing
temperatures through the rest of this week, into the weekend, and
even into next week as high pressure builds in the from the west.
Most of our precipitation chances will be confined to our southern
zones through the rest of the week with some uncertainty heading
into the weekend but overall QPF amounts will be on the low end
following Beryl. /33/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

For the 09/06Z TAF update, the remnant circulation of Tropical
Storm Beryl will continue to produce -RA/VCSH and MVFR/IFR
vis/cigs as and after precipitation wanes through 09/15Z.
Enhanced southerly surface winds will also slacken by the end of
the period. /16/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  87  71  93  73 /  20  10  10   0
MLU  86  69  92  70 /  20  10  10  10
DEQ  85  64  91  67 /  40  10   0   0
TXK  87  68  92  70 /  40  10  10   0
ELD  82  65  91  67 /  40  10  10   0
TYR  88  70  92  71 /  10   0   0   0
GGG  87  69  92  70 /  10   0   0   0
LFK  88  70  92  70 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....33
AVIATION...16