430
FXUS64 KSHV 301120
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
620 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

 - Dangerous summertime heat will return this week ahead of July
   4th activities. Any outdoor plans should factor in impacts from
   this heat.

 - Heat advisory criterion is expected to be met later this week
   with temperature maximums in the mid-90s or higher.

 - Rainfall totals will mostly remain below an inch through the
   rest of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

Ridging aloft will gradually intensify after a weak frontal
boundary reaches the Four State Region, reducing rain chances by
July 4th. That said, any convection (in the usual pulse-updraft
storm mode) will continue to be diurnally driven throughout this
week, amounting to Day 1-7 totals mostly in the 0.25-0.50 of-an-
inch range. Dew points will also remain elevated in the 70s,
contributing to dangerous heat outdoors. Long range guidance
suggests temperature maximums in the upper 90s are not out of the
question by this weekend.

Heat hazard products are almost fully certain to be issued this
week with dangerous, prolonged heat contributing to cumulative
heat stress. Adequate precautions and awareness are encouraged now
against the elevated potential for heat illnesses. This includes
(and is not limited to) altering outdoor plans, taking frequent
breaks if you must be outside, checking the backseat of your
vehicle, and knowing the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and
heat stroke. /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 616 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

For the 30/12z TAF update...Satellite imagery continues to show
some mainly high level clouds moving through portions of the area
in addition to some low clouds across deep east Texas. Have
maintained some FEW/SCT150-250 this morning with some lower clouds
mentioned for KLFK. This afternoon we will see another cu field
develop that will bring widespread SCT around 4-5k feet. There
will be some thunderstorm development across our far northern
zones this afternoon, although I am not too sure based off model
guidance this morning that they will impact any of our terminals.
The only place I have mention of anything is VCTS for KTXK around
01/00z. Otherwise, VFR conditions should prevail throughout this
period. /33/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  95  78  96  76 /  10  10  30  10
MLU  95  77  95  74 /  10  20  50  20
DEQ  93  71  91  71 /  10  30  30  10
TXK  97  76  95  74 /  10  20  30  10
ELD  94  74  92  71 /  10  20  40  10
TYR  94  75  94  74 /  10  10  20  10
GGG  93  75  94  74 /  10  10  20  10
LFK  94  74  95  74 /  10   0  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...33