336
FXUS64 KSHV 191840
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
140 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 120 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

As the stationary front continues to slowly clear the region,
"quieter" weather is expected for the short-term. Saturday will be
mostly dry, sans a stray shower here or there, as upper-level
troughing continues to settle overhead. Afternoon highs tomorrow
will climb back into the low-90s, with overnight lows tonight and
tomorrow ranging in the mid-60s to low-70s. Saturday is really
just a placeholder in this pattern, as rain chances will increase
once again into Sunday.

/44/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 120 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

Once the trough really get its footing by Sunday morning, rain
chances will really begin to increase into the long-term. Monday
through Wednesday appear to be the wettest days next week, with
portions of our region already highlighted in an ERO for Monday.
During this timeframe, the trough will slip off to the west,
putting the region into a SW flow pattern usually reserved for the
Spring and Fall months. While moderate to heavy rainfall will also
be possible, it will likely comes in waves, compared to sustained
rainfall. In turn, most of the region is only expected to see 2-5
inches of rain over the next week. Isolated flash flooding is
certainly possible, with the most likely issue being rises to
local rivers and lakes. Even beyond Wednesday, this troughing
pattern looks like it will remain firmly in place, even into next
weekend. Continue to look for afternoon highs to range in the low
to upper-80s, with overnight lows holding in the upper-60s to
low-70s.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1252 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

For the 19/18z TAFS...VFR conditions have moved into all sites
except KMLU. These lower cigs should persist at KMLU over the
next few hours, while an extensive cu field will persist at the
remaining sites through the afternoon. Also, additional showers or
isolated thunderstorms are possible through the afternoon and
early evening hours at KMLU. Patchy BR/FG can`t be ruled out
during the overnight period and around daybreak tomorrow at KMLU
and possibly KLFK. Otherwise, expect NE winds between 5 to 8kts
for the remainder of the day, becoming light NE to light/variable
after 00Z. /20/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  71  92  74  93 /   0   0   0  40
MLU  70  91  71  91 /  10  10  10  40
DEQ  63  89  67  87 /   0   0   0  30
TXK  66  91  70  90 /   0   0   0  20
ELD  65  90  69  91 /   0   0   0  20
TYR  69  90  72  91 /   0   0   0  30
GGG  68  91  71  91 /   0   0   0  30
LFK  71  91  71  91 /   0  10   0  50

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...20