![National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](/build/images/header/noaa.d87e0251.png)
![National Weather Service](/build/images/header/nws.4e6585d8.png)
![United States Department of Commerce](/build/images/header/doc.b38ba91a.png)
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
000 FXUS64 KSHV 161917 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 217 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Wednesday Night) Issued at 145 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024 A period of unsettled weather is finally on the horizon, as rain chances begin to increase into tomorrow evening. These rain chances will be associated with a deep trough and cold front dropping south through the midwest. The Heat Advisory that was in effect for today has been extended through tomorrow, however, depending on how early the rain and clouds move in, it may not be needed north of I-30. I did not have confidence in that during my forecast, so I went ahead and extended it area-wide for simplicy`s sake. However, I can say that tomorrow will likely be the last time we need any form of heat headlines for at least the next week, as upper-level troughing settles in for the long-haul (thankfully). /44/ && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through next Monday) Issued at 145 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024 It`s rare that I get to talk about a "spring like" pattern in mid-july, but honestly I won`t complain one bit. Considering we`re likely to get an extended break from the heat during all of this, I don`t think any of you will complain either. Upper-level ridging will bulk up to the west, allowing for this deep trough to remain over the east coast through at least Wednesday of next week. Various disturbances should ride between the ridge and trough, allowing for rain chances to remain in for most of the long-term as well. The trough will also allow for colder air to filter into the region, aided by the sustained north flow. Additionally, the afternoon cloud cover and rain chances will also aid in keeping afternoon highs below average. There may be a few days here and there where we sneak into the low-90s, but for the most part, highs will range in the mid to upper-80s. /44/ && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 110 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024 For the 16/18Z TAF period, VFR conditions will prevail this afternoon with a CU field to develop around 4Kft and S/SW winds around 10 kts. Clouds should diminish after sunset with decreasing winds to near 5 kts during the evening and overnight hours. Expect some low cigs to develop near KLFK around sunrise tomorrow, along with some mid and high clouds moving into most of the sites shortly afterwards. There may also be some showers at KTXK by the end of the TAF period, with more sct CU developing. /20/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 79 98 75 90 / 0 20 40 70 MLU 76 98 74 90 / 0 20 40 80 DEQ 74 94 70 87 / 0 30 60 50 TXK 78 97 73 89 / 0 20 60 70 ELD 76 97 70 87 / 0 20 50 70 TYR 77 98 74 90 / 0 20 30 60 GGG 76 97 73 90 / 0 20 30 70 LFK 75 96 74 91 / 0 20 10 60 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Wednesday for ARZ050-051-059>061- 070>073. LA...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Wednesday for LAZ001>006-010>014- 017>022. OK...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Wednesday for OKZ077. TX...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Wednesday for TXZ096-097-108>112- 124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167. && $$ SHORT TERM...44 LONG TERM....44 AVIATION...20