411
FXUS63 KSGF 100547
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1247 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rainfall associated with the remnants of Beryl will move off  to
  the east

- Fog to develop tonight as skies clear and winds become light

- Return to warmer temperatures with highs tomorrow in the  middle
  80s warming well into the 90s this weekend

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 256 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

Remaining rainfall over the eastern Ozarks will come to an end
during the late afternoon as the remnants of Beryl exit into the
Ohio Valley. A few showers and thunderstorms may possibly reform
within an inverted trough containing higher dew points. With
rainfall from this scattered convection being light, no additional
flood impacts are expected and the Flood Watch will be expired as
the rain ends.

The cloud shield will hang behind the rain shield though west to
east clearing is also expected setting up good radiational cooling
as winds weaken.  With grounds remaining wet, light fog is likely to
form overnight as temperatures are forecast to drop below current
dew points.

Wednesday - the upper trough that aided in the widespread rainfall
will have the trough axis also pass east though a shortwave
currently descending down an elongated western high pressure ridge
into the central Plains.  Rainfall chances (10-20%) will be limited
to the northern sections of the forecast area.

Temperatures will respond to sunshine and climb back through the 80s
with more warming to come.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 256 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

Heights will climb through the latter half of the work week as the
western upper ridge of high pressure flattens eastward.
There will be ripples as shortwaves flow across the northern
periphery of the ridge into the weekend.

Temperatures warming with the rising heights along with climbing dew
points on southerly winds will result in heat health concerns into
the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1246 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

Patchy fog will develop through sunrise with the highest chances
for MVFR reduction at BBG. VFR conditions are then expected
through the TAF period with partly cloudy skies and light and
variable winds.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Runnels
LONG TERM...Runnels
AVIATION...Burchfield