371
FXUS63 KSGF 201045
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
545 AM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Precipitation chances increase from west to east Saturday night
  into Sunday...with periodic chances into the work week.

- Unseasonably cool through midweek followed by a slow warming
  trend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 308 AM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024

Moisture begins to build back in today as 500mb low pressure
moves overhead. Clouds will keep high temperatures in the low
to mid 80s today. Rain returns this evening with low end
chances (20%) occurring mostly west of Highway 65 as a weak mid-
level shortwave moves through the area. SPC has that area under
a General Thunder risk for today. Rain becomes more probable
overnight (20-30%) as another weak disturbance moves through.
With clouds and rain expected overnight, low temperatures will
be a bit warmer in the mid to upper 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 308 AM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024

Rain chances continue through Sunday and will push east
throughout the day. Highest chances for rain are for areas
mainly west of Highway 65 (50-60%). Multiple shortwaves will
traverse around the base of the trough leading to an active
start to next week. Rain chances are between 30-50% Sunday
through Wednesday with the highest chances of rain occurring in
the afternoon hours with brief breaks in precipitation
throughout each day. By Thursday, rain chances begin to trend
downward (15-20%) as the low tries to close off and push
towards the northeast. High/low temperatures still remain a few
degrees below normal through mid- week. Then, expect
temperatures near average to end the week with highs in the
upper 80s and lows in the upper 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 542 AM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024

VFR through most of the day before rain moves in tonight.
Chances for light rain are low (20-30%) beginning late this
evening and persisting through the night. Low confidence of
ceilings going into MVFR tonight with the rain. Winds will be
variable.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Soria
LONG TERM...Soria
AVIATION...Soria