Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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Spot Forecast for Row...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
345 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on July 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Typical summertime weather pattern expected this week with
hot/humid weather during the day and muggy conditions with little
airflow at night.  There will be a chance for afternoon and
evening thunderstorms each day, with the best chance of rain
Wednesday afternoon.

Humidity minimums during the day are expected to remain above
50 percent with excellent recovery at night.  Wind will be
light, generally down river late at night and early morning,
and up river during the afternoon and evening.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-55 percent cloud cover)
                    Isolated showers and thunderstorms, mainly
                    before midnight. Patchy fog after 3 am.
CWR (0.01 in).......20 percent decreasing to 10 percent in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 2 to 8 mph during the evening, then calm
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (29000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................42 early in the evening decreasing to 0 late in
                    the night.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41  62  49  43  43  40  41  44  55  42  63  54
Weather cov.....ISO ISO ISO ISO                     PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW                      FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........ISO     ISO ISO
CWR.............20  20  20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   10  10
Temp............89  88  86  82  80  78  77  76  76  75  74  74
RH..............56  59  62  73  79  83  85  87  89  90  91  92
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  N   NW  W   NW  N   N   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..4   3   3   2   0   1   1   1   0   0   1   1
20 FT wind gust.6   5   5       1                   1
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mixng wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  N   N
Mixng wind spd..8   8   8   7   6   5   3   3   2   1   0   0
LVORI...........1   3   3   3   4   5   5   6   7   7   7   8
ADI.............42  4   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   0   0
Haines index....4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRate mph-ft/1K.33  26  12  4   3   3   2   2   1   1   0   0

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent increasing to 30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Near calm in the morning, south 2 to 9
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (43400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................0 early in the morning increasing to 57 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........46     58     46     54     53     62
Weather cov.....PATCHY                      S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  CHANCE
CWR.............10     10     10     10     20     30
Temp............74     76     83     88     93     94
RH..............92     89     78     65     54     52
20 ft wind......N 0    W 1    S 2    S 3    S 3    S 2
20 ft wind gust.                     4      5      4
Mix hgt (ft)....500    700    2600   4600   5500   5000
Mixing wind.....N 0    SW 2   S 3    S 6    S 7    SE 8
LVORI...........8      6      4      3      1      1
ADI.............0      2      13     29     43     48
Haines index....3      3      4      4      4      4
VRate mph-ft/1K.0      2      10     25     38     41

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    overnight.
CWR (0.01 in).......30 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 10 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (43100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................58 early in the evening decreasing to 5 late in
                    the night.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........64     76     56     46     46     50
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............30     30     20     20     10     10
Temp............91     85     80     78     77     76
RH..............56     72     84     85     88     89
20 ft wind......SE 2   SE2    S 2    S 2    S 0    NW 2
20 ft wind gust.4      8      7      7      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....4700   800    600    800    700    600
Mixing wind.....SE 10  SE 13  S 12   S 10   S 8    S 6
LVORI...........1      3      5      5      5      6
ADI.............58     6      5      5      5      5
Haines index....4      4      3      3      3      3
VRate mph-ft/1K.50     10     6      9      8      6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
                    late in the morning, then likely late in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent increasing to 80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 12 to 21 mph increasing to around 22 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (95900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 138 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........55        57        52        54
Weather cov.....          CHANCE    CHANCE    DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    CHANCE    LIKELY
CWR.............10        50        50        80
Temp............75        79        88        89
RH..............90        87        76        73
20 FT wind......S 3G8     S 4G10    S 5G12    S 5G13
Mix hgt (ft)....700       1700      3400      4400
Mixing wind.....S 12      S 15      S 17      S 21
LVORI...........6         4         3         3
ADI.............5         34        58        81
Haines index....3         3         3         4
VRate mph-ft/1K.8         27        57        91

$$
Forecaster...Manuel
Requested by...Brent Foltz
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417590.7/RNK
.DELDT 07/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brent.foltz@usda.gov