Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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626
FNUS75 KRIW 200428
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for CLEARWATER...USFS
National Weather Service Riverton WY
1028 PM MDT Fri Jul 19 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2300 MDT on July 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight will feature mostly clear skies and a light southwesterly
wind. Weak upslope flow will result in a northeast wind of 5-10
mph after sunrise. Convective development will begin around
1000-1100 with building cumulus, then scattered rain showers and
thunderstorms will develop by 1200. Showers and storms will remain
in the area through the afternoon and some could linger into the
evening hours Saturday. Gusty erratic wind will occur with storms
Saturday afternoon. Gusts could exceed 50 mph with the strongest
storms.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast around 10 mph until 0400, then west.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph until 0300, then north around
                    8 mph until 0400, then west 9 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........3 to 4.

TIME (MDT)      11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........15  20  15  20  10  10  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   10  0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............65  62  61  60  58  58  58
RH..............53  59  61  60  62  62  60
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  E   N   N   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..3   6   4   3   3   4   5
20 FT wind gust.6   7   6   5   4   6   6
Ridge wind dir..E   SE  E   N   N   W   SW
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   N   W   SW
Transp wind spd.8   12  9   8   8   9   10
Haines index....4   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100013  18  15  13  13  15  17

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3 until 1500, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 8 to 12 mph with gusts to around 16
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......West around 10 mph until 0900, then northeast 10
                    to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL until 1000, then 5500 ft AGL until
                    1100, then 7500 ft AGL through the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 10 mph until 0900, then north 7 to 9
                    mph until 1100, then 15 to 18 mph until 1400,
                    then east.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor gradually increasing through the morning to
                    excellent by 1200.
Haines Index........4.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  15  15  10  15  25  35  50  50  60  55  55
Weather cov.....                            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  0   30  50  50  30  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   4   4   4
Temp............57  58  61  65  73  77  79  80  79  77  77  76
RH..............58  58  52  46  38  31  27  28  28  32  33  33
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NE  E   E   E   S   NE  S   NE
20 FT wind spd..5   4   3   2   4   8   10  11  11  10  8   8
20 FT wind gust.6   6   4       6   12  14  16  16  14  12  12
Ridge wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NE  E   E   E   S   NE  S   NE
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  5   10  15  15  20  20  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.0 2.0 3.5 5.5 7.5 9.5 10  8.5 7.5 6.0 6.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NE  N   N   N   N   E   NE  E   E
Transp wind spd.10  9   8   7   9   15  17  18  18  17  15  15
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100017  15  15  20  44  100 139 163 132 112 76  82

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1900, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 8 mph until 1900, then light.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......East around 15 mph until 2000, then southwest
                    until 2400, then light until 0400, then southwest
                    around 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL until 2000, then 2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good early in the evening decreasing to fair
                    late in the night until 2000. Poor after 2300.
Haines Index........3.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........30  30  30  20  20  15  10  10  10  10  10  10
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).20  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............74  74  72  69  65  63  60  58  57  55  55  54
RH..............35  37  40  44  50  55  60  62  63  65  64  62
20 FT wind dir..E   E   N   SW  S   S   SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   6   5   5   5   4   2   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.12  10  10  8   7   6   6   4           4   4
Ridge wind dir..E   E   N   SW  S   S   SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..15  15  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 4.5 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.15  13  10  10  10  9   7   7   7   7   8   8
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100064  48  25  17  16  14  11  11  11  11  13  13

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1100, then east 7 to 10 mph
                    with gusts to around 19 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest around 10 mph until 0800, then east.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL until 0900. 10000 ft AGL after
                    1400.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 8 mph until 0900, then east 9
                    to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800. Very good after 1300.
Haines Index........3.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  10  5   5   10  10  15  20  25  35  30  30
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............54  57  59  62  67  71  76  77  77  78  78  79
RH..............61  57  53  49  42  36  29  28  26  25  25  25
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   4   6   7   9   10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.4   4   5   6   10  13  16  18  18  18  19  19
Ridge wind dir..W   SW  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.5 3.5 4.5 6.0 7.5 8.5 9.0 9.5 10  9.5 9.0
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   9   12  14  16  17  17  17  17  17
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100013  19  25  36  59  88  122 137 143 149 143 138

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...Rowe
Requested by...MICHAEL HOLLOWAY
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418496.0/RIW
.DELDT 07/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL WYCDC@FIRENET.GOV