Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 081139
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Horsecreek Fire...USDA
National Weather Service Riverton WY
539 AM MDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on July 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure continues to bring nearly clear skies, and will
keep winds lower through the day. Winds will be terrain based and
upslope under 5 mph through 1300, before taking a more
northwesterly direction around 10 mph. Humidity falls below 40
percent by 1200, and remain between 30 and 40 percent through the
afternoon.

Humidity recovery will be poor overnight, only returning to around
50 percent by sunrise. Winds will be light downslope below 5 mph.

Conditions will be similar on Tuesday, with light winds through
noon before increasing from the northwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon. Humidity levels will be drier Tuesday, falling to
around 25 percent in the afternoon.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1300, then northwest 8 to 10
                    mph with gusts to around 16 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds until 0900, then northwest 10 to 15
                    mph.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL after 1400.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph until 0900, then
                    northwest 8 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000. Good early in the morning
                    increasing to very good in the afternoon after
                    1300.
Haines Index........3 to 4.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   0   0   0   5   5   5   5   10  10  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............44  45  49  52  55  58  59  62  63  64  64  64
RH..............55  55  58  53  48  43  39  38  36  33  33  32
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   4   5   6   8   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.                6   7   10  13  14  16  16  16
Ridge wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 3.0 5.0 5.5 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 7.5
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   9   10  13  15  16  17  17  17
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10000   0   0   7   26  43  63  83  100 111 118 114

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 16 mph until 2100, then light.
Ridgetop wind.......North 10 to 15 mph until 0400, then northeast.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL until 2000.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 17 mph until 0300, then east 9
                    to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good early in the evening decreasing to
                    good late in the night until 2000, then poor.
Haines Index........4 to 5.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  10  5   5   5   0   0   0   0   0   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............65  63  61  55  53  52  52  52  51  50  49  49
RH..............32  35  38  42  43  43  43  43  43  43  45  45
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..10  8   7   6   5   4   4   3   3   4   5   6
20 FT wind gust.16  13  11  8   7   6   6           6   7   8
Ridge wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
Ridge wind spd..15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...7.0 6.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NE  E   E
Transp wind spd.17  15  14  12  10  9   9   8   8   9   10  12
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/1000106 79  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1400, then northwest 8 to 9
                    mph. Gusts up to 17 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph until 1200, then
                    northwest.
Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL after 1200.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 13 mph until 1000. Northwest 12 to
                    16 mph after 1200.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Very good after 1500.
Haines Index........4 to 5.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  5   5   5   5   10  15  20  25  30  30  35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  51  54  57  61  62  64  65  66  68  69  69
RH..............46  45  43  40  35  31  30  28  27  26  25  25
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   NE  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  10  8   8   8   8   8   10  13  14  14  14
Ridge wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   NE  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..15  15  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 2.0 4.5 6.0 7.5 8.0 8.0 8.5 8.0 7.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   NE  NE  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.13  13  12  12  12  12  12  13  15  16  16  16
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10000   0   0   18  46  62  77  88  107 118 112 107

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds around 7 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southwest winds around 8 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West
winds around 9 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Straub
Requested by...Matthew Bell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417316.17/RIW
.DELDT 07/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.bell2@usda.gov