Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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Spot Forecast for Horsecreek Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Riverton WY
1022 AM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MDT on July 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

IF RECEIVED, PLEASE DISREGARD. THIS IS A TEST. FOR ANY QUESTIONS
OR UPDATES, CALL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 14 to 17 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
Ridgetop wind.......West around 25 mph.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL until 1400, then 9000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 24 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good early in the morning increasing to very
                    good in the afternoon until 1400, then
                    excellent.
Haines Index........4.

TIME (MDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   10  30  15  45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  52  52  51  54  52
RH..............46  36  39  33  30  31
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..14  17  17  17  15  14
20 FT wind gust.22  26  26  26  20  19
Ridge wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..25  25  25  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 6.0 7.5 8.0 9.0 8.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.24  25  26  26  26  25
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100097  136 170 184 204 192

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20
                    mph until 0200, then light.
Ridgetop wind.......West 20 to 25 mph until 2000, then northwest 10
                    to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL until 2000.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 25 mph until 2200, then northwest 10
                    to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent early in the evening decreasing to
                    very good late in the night until 2000, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........3 to 4.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20  30  0   20  45  20  10  5   5   5   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............53  47  46  45  44  42  41  39  39  37  37  37
RH..............29  47  43  47  45  46  46  50  50  54  64  67
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..15  13  10  7   9   8   8   8   6   3   4   5
20 FT wind gust.20  18  14  10  13  12  12  12  7   4   6   6
Ridge wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..25  20  15  10  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...7.5 6.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.25  24  20  16  14  13  14  13  12  10  10  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/1000165 139 10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1100, then northwest 11 to 17
                    mph with gusts to around 23 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph until 1100, then 20 to
                    25 mph.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL after 1200.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 18 mph until 1200, then 21 to
                    25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Very good after 1500.
Haines Index........2 to 3.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............42  38  44  46  46  46  48  50  50  52  52  52
RH..............50  64  43  49  45  42  37  36  36  35  32  31
20 FT wind dir..W   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   4   4   2   6   11  12  14  15  16  17  17
20 FT wind gust.7   5   6   6   11  16  17  19  20  22  23  23
Ridge wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..10  10  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 2.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  14  16  18  21  23  23  24  25  25
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10000   0   0   24  43  58  76  95  109 117 125 124

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TODAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs around 60. West winds around
9 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West
winds around 11 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Northwest winds around 9 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Gross
Requested by...Paul Hood
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417316.6/RIW
.DELDT 07/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0