Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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087
UXUS97 KPUB 071208
SRGPUB

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0608 MDT Sunday, July 7, 2024

This forecast is for the Air Force Academy for Sunday, July 7, 2024:

If the trigger temperature of 70.4 F/21.3 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1243 ft/min (6.3 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 19723 ft MSL (12118 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 75.0 F/24.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1400 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 10962 ft MSL (3357 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 07/08....... Good

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:41:14 / 20:27:29 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 46 min 15 sec (886 min 15 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:04:22 MDT... 73.46 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/07/2024 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 15016 ft MSL (7411 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16361 ft MSL (8756 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17032 ft MSL (9427 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -3.3
K index......................... +18.0

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -57.5 -71.5   285   33   17   1.9   1.1      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -54.7 -66.5   285   46   24   1.7   0.9      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -52.1 -61.8   285   54   28   3.7   2.0      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -48.8 -55.8   285   52   27   4.9   2.7      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -45.8 -50.4   285   49   25   4.9   2.7      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -42.8 -45.0   285   45   23   5.0   2.7      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -39.8 -39.6   285   41   21   5.0   2.8      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -35.4 -31.7   290   38   19   8.5   4.7   32.9  91.2     7.0      M    M
 29000  -32.9 -27.2   290   36   19   8.5   4.7   32.4  90.4     6.7      M    M
 28000  -30.3 -22.5   295   35   18   8.7   4.7   32.1  89.7     6.5      M    M
 27000  -28.1 -18.6   295   35   18   7.1   3.9   31.2  88.1     5.9      M    M
 26000  -25.9 -14.6   295   35   18   7.1   3.9   30.2  86.3     5.1      M    M
 25000  -23.8 -10.8   295   36   18   7.1   3.9   29.3  84.7     4.4      M    M
 24000  -21.7  -7.1   300   36   18   7.0   3.8   28.3  82.9     3.7      M    M
 23000  -19.1  -2.4   300   36   19   7.0   3.8   27.0  80.6     2.6      M    M
 22000  -17.0   1.4   300   36   19   7.0   3.9   26.1  79.0     1.9      M    M
 21000  -14.9   5.2   295   34   17   7.1   3.9   25.1  77.3     1.0      M    M
 20000  -12.8   9.0   295   31   16   7.2   3.9   24.2  75.6     0.2      M    M
 19500  -11.8  10.8   290   30   15   7.1   3.9   23.9  74.9    -0.2   1216  6.2
 19000  -10.6  12.9   290   28   14   8.5   4.7   23.5  74.4    -0.6   1167  5.9
 18500   -9.4  15.1   285   26   13   8.5   4.7   23.3  74.0    -0.8   1116  5.7
 18000   -8.2  17.2   285   23   12   8.8   4.8   23.1  73.6    -1.0   1064  5.4
 17500   -6.9  19.6   285   22   11   9.2   5.0   23.0  73.4    -1.2   1009  5.1
 17000   -5.5  22.1   280   20   10   9.1   5.0   22.9  73.2    -1.3    954  4.8
 16500   -4.1  24.6   285   19   10   9.5   5.2   22.8  73.1    -1.4    898  4.6
 16000   -2.7  27.1   285   18    9   9.5   5.2   22.8  73.0    -1.5    841  4.3
 15500   -1.3  29.7   290   18    9   9.4   5.1   22.7  72.9    -1.5    784  4.0
 15000    0.1  32.2   295   17    9   9.4   5.1   22.7  72.8    -1.6    728  3.7
 14500    1.5  34.7   295   17    9   9.5   5.2   22.6  72.7    -1.7    671  3.4
 14000    2.9  37.2   300   17    9   9.8   5.4   22.6  72.7    -1.7    613  3.1
 13500    4.4  39.9   300   16    8   9.8   5.4   22.6  72.7    -1.7    554  2.8
 13000    5.8  42.4   305   16    8   9.2   5.1   22.6  72.6    -1.8    497  2.5
 12500    7.1  44.8   310   16    8   9.1   5.0   22.5  72.4    -1.9    442  2.2
 12000    8.3  46.9   310   15    8   7.4   4.1   22.2  72.0    -2.2    391  2.0
 11750    8.9  48.0   310   15    8   7.6   4.2   22.0  71.7    -2.3    367  1.9
 11500    9.5  49.1   315   14    7   8.2   4.5   21.9  71.4    -2.5    342  1.7
 11250   10.0  50.0   315   14    7   7.6   4.2   21.8  71.2    -2.6    317  1.6
 11000   10.5  50.9   315   14    7   6.7   3.7   21.6  70.8    -2.9    295  1.5
 10750   11.0  51.8   315   13    7   6.6   3.6   21.3  70.4    -3.2    273  1.4
 10500   11.5  52.7   320   13    7   7.7   4.2   21.1  70.0    -3.4    252  1.3
 10250   12.0  53.6   320   12    6   6.8   3.8   21.0  69.7    -3.6    228  1.2
 10000   12.4  54.3   325   12    6   4.5   2.5   20.6  69.1    -4.0    211  1.1
  9750   12.6  54.7   325   12    6   4.1   2.3   20.2  68.3    -4.5    195  1.0
  9500   12.9  55.2   330   12    6   6.0   3.3   19.8  67.6    -5.0    180  0.9
  9250   13.2  55.8   330   12    6  -0.8  -0.4   19.4  66.9    -5.4    164  0.8
  9000   12.6  54.7   330   15    8  -7.8  -4.3   18.2  64.7    -6.7    173  0.9
  8750   12.1  53.8   330   16    8  -6.1  -3.4   16.9  62.5    -8.1    183  0.9
  8500   11.5  52.7   330   18    9  -6.3  -3.4   15.7  60.3    -9.4    193  1.0
  8250   10.9  51.6   330   20   10  -8.7  -4.8   14.5  58.0   -10.7    203  1.0
  8000   10.2  50.4   330   19   10  -8.2  -4.5   13.0  55.4   -12.2    218  1.1
  7750    9.8  49.6   330   15    8  -0.9  -0.5   11.9  53.5   -13.4    221  1.1
  7500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  7250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  7000      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  6750      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           07/07/2024 at 0900 MDT          |       07/07/2024 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...  +102.1    LI...       -0.2        | CAPE...  +263.3    LI...       -0.1
CINH...  -146.0    K Index... +11.6        | CINH...   -91.6    K Index...  +8.7
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -56.7 -70.1  280  24 13   2.8   1.5 | -56.1 -69.0  285  24 12   2.2   1.2
 45000 -53.1 -63.6  280  37 19   1.2   0.7 | -53.5 -64.3  290  37 19   0.1   0.1
 40000 -51.0 -59.8  290  53 27   3.3   1.8 | -53.0 -63.4  290  50 26   4.5   2.5
 38000 -49.2 -56.6  290  51 26   3.1   1.7 | -50.6 -59.1  295  49 25   4.1   2.2
 36000 -47.3 -53.1  295  49 25   3.1   1.7 | -48.2 -54.8  300  48 25   4.2   2.3
 34000 -44.2 -47.6  300  46 24   6.3   3.4 | -44.3 -47.7  305  47 24   7.4   4.1
 32000 -40.4 -40.7  310  42 22   6.3   3.4 | -39.8 -39.6  305  45 23   7.4   4.1
 30000 -35.9 -32.6  310  41 21   8.2   4.5 | -35.2 -31.4  305  42 22   7.8   4.3
 29000 -33.4 -28.1  315  41 21   8.2   4.5 | -32.9 -27.2  305  40 21   7.8   4.3
 28000 -30.9 -23.6  315  40 21   8.2   4.5 | -30.5 -22.9  305  38 20   7.8   4.3
 27000 -28.4 -19.1  315  39 20   8.6   4.7 | -28.1 -18.6  305  37 19   8.1   4.5
 26000 -25.8 -14.4  315  38 19   8.6   4.7 | -25.7 -14.3  300  35 18   8.1   4.5
 25000 -23.2  -9.8  310  36 19   8.6   4.7 | -23.3  -9.9  300  34 17   8.1   4.4
 24000 -20.7  -5.3  310  35 18   7.7   4.2 | -20.7  -5.3  300  33 17   8.7   4.8
 23000 -17.9  -0.2  310  34 18   7.7   4.2 | -17.4   0.7  300  32 16   8.7   4.8
 22000 -15.5   4.1  310  34 17   7.4   4.0 | -14.8   5.4  300  31 16   8.2   4.5
 21000 -13.7   7.3  310  32 16   5.8   3.2 | -12.8   9.0  300  31 16   6.4   3.5
 20000 -12.0  10.4  305  30 15   5.9   3.2 | -10.9  12.4  305  33 17   6.4   3.5
 19500 -11.1  12.0  305  29 15   5.9   3.2 | -10.0  14.0  305  33 17   6.5   3.6
 19000 -10.2  13.6  305  27 14   6.2   3.4 |  -9.1  15.6  305  33 17   5.1   2.8
 18500  -9.3  15.3  305  25 13   6.3   3.5 |  -8.4  16.9  305  31 16   5.2   2.9
 18000  -8.4  16.9  305  22 11   6.7   3.7 |  -7.6  18.3  305  30 15   5.7   3.1
 17500  -7.4  18.7  305  21 11   7.4   4.1 |  -6.7  19.9  305  29 15   6.5   3.5
 17000  -6.3  20.7  300  19 10   7.3   4.0 |  -5.8  21.6  305  27 14   6.5   3.5
 16500  -5.1  22.8  300  18  9   9.5   5.2 |  -4.8  23.4  300  26 13   8.3   4.6
 16000  -3.7  25.3  300  18  9   9.4   5.1 |  -3.6  25.5  300  24 12   8.2   4.5
 15500  -2.3  27.9  300  17  9   9.2   5.1 |  -2.4  27.7  300  23 12   8.9   4.9
 15000  -1.0  30.2  300  17  9   9.2   5.1 |  -1.0  30.2  295  22 11   9.3   5.1
 14500   0.3  32.5  300  17  9   9.3   5.1 |   0.3  32.5  295  21 11   9.3   5.1
 14000   1.7  35.1  300  17  9   9.6   5.2 |   1.7  35.1  295  20 10   9.3   5.1
 13500   3.2  37.8  300  16  8   9.6   5.3 |   3.1  37.6  295  18 10   9.4   5.1
 13000   4.6  40.3  300  16  8  10.1   5.6 |   4.6  40.3  290  17  9  10.4   5.7
 12500   6.1  43.0  305  15  8   9.5   5.2 |   6.0  42.8  290  16  8   8.3   4.5
 12000   7.4  45.3  310  15  8   8.9   4.9 |   7.3  45.1  295  15  8   9.4   5.1
 11750   8.1  46.6  310  16  8   8.8   4.8 |   8.0  46.4  295  14  7   9.0   5.0
 11500   8.8  47.8  310  16  8   9.8   5.4 |   8.7  47.7  295  13  7   9.8   5.4
 11250   9.5  49.1  315  16  8   7.8   4.3 |   9.3  48.7  295  13  7   6.6   3.6
 11000   9.9  49.8  315  16  8   5.6   3.1 |   9.6  49.3  300  13  7   3.8   2.1
 10750  10.4  50.7  315  17  9   5.6   3.1 |   9.9  49.8  305  13  7   3.8   2.1
 10500  10.8  51.4  320  18  9   7.8   4.3 |  10.2  50.4  315  13  7   6.4   3.5
 10250  11.3  52.3  320  18  9   4.5   2.5 |  10.6  51.1  315  13  7   2.5   1.4
 10000  11.3  52.3  325  19 10  -0.6  -0.3 |  10.4  50.7  325  14  7  -3.8  -2.1
  9750  11.3  52.3  325  20 10   0.5   0.3 |  10.0  50.0  335  15  8  -2.1  -1.1
  9500  11.3  52.3  325  21 11   0.4   0.2 |   9.7  49.5  345  17  9  -3.5  -1.9
  9250  11.2  52.2  330  22 11  -0.5  -0.3 |   9.5  49.1  350  19 10   4.6   2.5
  9000  11.1  52.0  330  22 12  -0.9  -0.5 |  10.3  50.5  350  19 10  11.4   6.3
  8750  10.9  51.6  330  23 12  -0.4  -0.2 |  10.9  51.6  355  19 10   9.1   5.0
  8500  10.8  51.4  330  23 12   0.2   0.1 |  11.6  52.9  355  19 10   9.9   5.4
  8250  10.9  51.6  330  23 12   5.9   3.2 |  12.4  54.3  355  19 10  12.2   6.7
  8000  11.7  53.1  330  22 11  16.8   9.2 |  13.6  56.5  355  19 10  21.8  11.9
  7750  13.3  55.9  335  19 10  24.4  13.4 |  15.6  60.1  355  17  9  32.4  17.8
  7500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           07/07/2024 at 1500 MDT          |       07/07/2024 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...  +661.7    LI...       -2.9        | CAPE...  +572.1    LI...       -2.0
CINH...   -52.0    K Index... +25.6        | CINH...    -4.6    K Index... +26.6
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -55.1 -67.2  285  21 11   2.3   1.2 | -55.6 -68.1  280  19 10   2.5   1.4
 45000 -53.0 -63.4  290  34 18  -1.3  -0.7 | -53.0 -63.4  285  30 15  -0.5  -0.3
 40000 -54.4 -65.9  295  46 24   5.9   3.2 | -53.4 -64.1  295  43 22   4.9   2.7
 38000 -51.3 -60.3  295  45 23   5.1   2.8 | -50.8 -59.4  295  42 21   4.3   2.4
 36000 -48.3 -54.9  290  45 23   5.2   2.9 | -48.2 -54.8  295  41 21   4.4   2.4
 34000 -44.1 -47.4  290  44 23   7.5   4.1 | -44.3 -47.7  295  40 21   7.3   4.0
 32000 -39.7 -39.5  295  43 22   7.5   4.1 | -39.9 -39.8  295  39 20   7.3   4.0
 30000 -34.9 -30.8  295  42 22   8.1   4.4 | -35.2 -31.4  295  39 20   8.3   4.5
 29000 -32.5 -26.5  295  42 22   8.1   4.4 | -32.7 -26.9  295  39 20   8.3   4.5
 28000 -30.1 -22.2  295  42 21   8.1   4.4 | -30.2 -22.4  295  40 21   8.3   4.5
 27000 -27.7 -17.9  295  41 21   8.0   4.4 | -27.8 -18.0  290  39 20   8.0   4.4
 26000 -25.3 -13.5  295  40 20   8.0   4.4 | -25.4 -13.7  290  39 20   8.0   4.4
 25000 -22.9  -9.2  290  38 20   8.0   4.4 | -22.9  -9.2  290  38 20   8.1   4.4
 24000 -20.8  -5.4  290  38 19   6.2   3.4 | -20.7  -5.3  290  38 19   6.9   3.8
 23000 -18.9  -2.0  290  38 19   6.2   3.4 | -18.2  -0.8  280  38 19   7.0   3.9
 22000 -16.6   2.1  290  37 19   6.6   3.6 | -16.1   3.0  275  38 19   7.5   4.1
 21000 -14.5   5.9  285  36 18   7.5   4.1 | -13.8   7.2  275  36 19   8.3   4.5
 20000 -12.3   9.9  280  34 17   7.7   4.2 | -11.3  11.7  280  35 18   8.3   4.6
 19500 -11.2  11.8  275  33 17   7.6   4.2 | -10.1  13.8  280  34 17   8.5   4.6
 19000 -10.0  14.0  275  32 17   9.2   5.1 |  -9.0  15.8  280  33 17   7.9   4.3
 18500  -8.7  16.3  275  31 16   9.2   5.0 |  -7.8  18.0  280  31 16   8.0   4.4
 18000  -7.4  18.7  275  29 15   9.2   5.0 |  -6.6  20.1  280  30 16   8.1   4.5
 17500  -6.1  21.0  275  28 15   9.1   5.0 |  -5.4  22.3  280  28 15   8.3   4.5
 17000  -4.7  23.5  275  27 14   9.1   5.0 |  -4.2  24.4  280  26 13   8.4   4.6
 16500  -3.4  25.9  275  26 13   9.3   5.1 |  -3.2  26.2  275  24 12   6.6   3.6
 16000  -2.0  28.4  275  24 12   9.3   5.1 |  -2.2  28.0  270  22 11   6.8   3.7
 15500  -0.7  30.7  275  23 12   8.6   4.7 |  -1.2  29.8  265  20 10   6.1   3.4
 15000   0.5  32.9  270  21 11   8.3   4.6 |  -0.4  31.3  260  19 10   5.9   3.2
 14500   1.7  35.1  270  19 10   8.0   4.4 |   0.4  32.7  255  18  9   5.1   2.8
 14000   2.8  37.0  265  17  8   7.6   4.2 |   1.0  33.8  260  15  8   3.9   2.2
 13500   3.9  39.0  265  14  7   7.3   4.0 |   1.5  34.7  265  12  6   4.0   2.2
 13000   4.8  40.6  270  11  6   5.3   2.9 |   2.0  35.6  290   8  4   4.2   2.3
 12500   5.4  41.7  280   8  4   3.3   1.8 |   2.7  36.9  320   7  4   5.8   3.2
 12000   5.5  41.9  320   6  3  -0.6  -0.4 |   3.7  38.7  350   7  3   8.1   4.5
 11750   5.5  41.9  350   6  3   0.2   0.1 |   4.2  39.6  005   7  3   8.0   4.4
 11500   5.4  41.7  010   9  4   0.4   0.2 |   4.8  40.6  015   7  4   6.7   3.7
 11250   5.4  41.7  020  10  5   5.5   3.0 |   5.2  41.4  025   9  4   6.1   3.4
 11000   6.1  43.0  025  11  6   9.6   5.3 |   5.7  42.3  030   9  5   6.8   3.8
 10750   6.7  44.1  025  12  6   7.6   4.2 |   6.2  43.2  030  10  5   6.7   3.7
 10500   7.3  45.1  030  12  6  11.6   6.4 |   6.7  44.1  035  10  5   6.7   3.7
 10250   8.3  46.9  030  13  7  12.2   6.7 |   7.2  45.0  035  11  6   8.8   4.9
 10000   9.0  48.2  030  13  7   8.9   4.9 |   8.0  46.4  035  11  6  10.4   5.7
  9750   9.8  49.6  030  13  7   9.9   5.4 |   8.7  47.7  035  11  6  10.2   5.6
  9500  10.5  50.9  030  13  7   9.3   5.1 |   9.5  49.1  035  11  6   9.3   5.1
  9250  11.2  52.2  030  13  7   9.4   5.2 |  10.1  50.2  035  11  6   8.6   4.7
  9000  11.9  53.4  030  13  7  10.7   5.9 |  10.8  51.4  035  11  6  10.5   5.8
  8750  12.8  55.0  030  13  7  11.2   6.2 |  11.7  53.1  035  11  6  11.6   6.4
  8500  13.6  56.5  030  13  7  10.8   6.0 |  12.5  54.5  035  11  6  10.6   5.8
  8250  14.4  57.9  035  13  7  11.1   6.1 |  13.2  55.8  035  11  6   8.9   4.9
  8000  15.4  59.7  035  13  7  19.7  10.8 |  13.9  57.0  035  11  6  11.5   6.3
  7750  17.4  63.3  035  12  6  32.6  17.9 |  15.0  59.0  035  10  5  17.1   9.4
  7500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC).  It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the Air Force Academy
in Colorado Springs, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  38 deg 58 min 48.000 sec
                   West Longitude: 104 deg 49 min 12.000 sec
                   Elevation: 6572 feet (2003 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613