Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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665
UXUS97 KPUB 161207
SRGPUB

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0607 MDT Tuesday, July 16, 2024

This forecast is for Villa Grove, CO for Tuesday, July 16, 2024:

If the trigger temperature of 69.7 F/21.0 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1014 ft/min (5.2 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 21116 ft MSL (12128 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 79.0 F/26.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0900 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1100 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ Between 20 mph and 30 mph
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 15822 ft MSL (6834 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 07/17.... Fair

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:53:46 / 20:25:44 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 31 min 59 sec (871 min 59 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:09:45 MDT... 72.78 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 07/16/2024 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 16761 ft MSL (7773 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16627 ft MSL (7639 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17853 ft MSL (8865 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.2
K index......................... +25.1

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -63.2 -81.8   305   16    8   1.8   1.0      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -58.7 -73.7   305   17    9   5.3   2.9      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -50.2 -58.4   270   15    8   5.8   3.2      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -46.7 -52.1   255   20   10   5.8   3.2      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -43.3 -45.9   245   27   14   6.8   3.8      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -38.4 -37.1   245   23   12   8.3   4.5      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -33.4 -28.1   255   20   10   8.7   4.8      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -29.1 -20.4   255   21   11   7.2   3.9   35.6  96.0     7.4      M    M
 29000  -27.0 -16.6   255   21   11   7.2   3.9   34.6  94.4     6.8      M    M
 28000  -24.3 -11.7   255   22   11   6.8   3.7   33.5  92.3     5.9      M    M
 27000  -22.3  -8.1   255   22   11   6.8   3.7   32.3  90.2     5.0      M    M
 26000  -20.3  -4.5   255   22   11   6.8   3.7   31.3  88.3     4.2      M    M
 25000  -18.2  -0.8   255   22   11   6.7   3.7   30.3  86.6     3.5      M    M
 24000  -16.2   2.8   260   22   11   6.7   3.7   29.2  84.5     2.5      M    M
 23000  -14.3   6.3   260   22   11   6.8   3.7   28.1  82.6     1.6      M    M
 22000  -12.3   9.9   265   22   11   7.3   4.0   27.2  80.9     0.7      M    M
 21000  -10.1  13.8   265   23   12   7.5   4.1   26.3  79.4    -0.1   1205  6.1
 20000   -7.9  17.8   270   24   12   7.6   4.2   25.6  78.1    -0.8   1110  5.6
 19500   -6.8  19.8   270   24   13   7.7   4.2   25.3  77.6    -1.2   1063  5.4
 19000   -5.7  21.7   270   23   12   8.0   4.4   25.0  77.0    -1.5   1015  5.2
 18500   -4.6  23.7   270   22   11   8.0   4.4   24.7  76.5    -1.9    966  4.9
 18000   -3.5  25.7   270   21   11   8.7   4.8   24.5  76.1    -2.2    917  4.7
 17500   -2.2  28.0   270   20   10   8.9   4.9   24.3  75.8    -2.3    863  4.4
 17000   -0.9  30.4   270   19   10   8.9   4.9   24.2  75.6    -2.5    809  4.1
 16500    0.4  32.7   270   19   10   8.5   4.7   24.0  75.3    -2.7    756  3.8
 16000    1.7  35.1   270   18    9   8.6   4.7   23.8  74.9    -2.9    703  3.6
 15500    2.9  37.2   270   18    9   8.0   4.4   23.6  74.5    -3.1    651  3.3
 15000    4.7  40.5   270   16    8   8.1   4.4   23.2  73.7    -3.6    577  2.9
 14500    5.7  42.3   270   14    7   7.1   3.9   22.8  73.0    -4.0    531  2.7
 14000    6.8  44.2   275   13    7   7.5   4.1   22.5  72.5    -4.4    484  2.5
 13500    8.0  46.4   280   12    6   9.8   5.4   22.3  72.1    -4.7    434  2.2
 13000    9.2  48.6   285   11    6   7.3   4.0   22.1  71.8    -5.0    383  1.9
 12500   10.2  50.4   285   10    5   7.0   3.8   21.7  71.1    -5.4    337  1.7
 12000   11.2  52.2   275   10    5   6.3   3.5   21.3  70.3    -6.0    293  1.5
 11750   11.6  52.9   275    9    5   6.5   3.6   21.0  69.8    -6.3    273  1.4
 11500   12.1  53.8   270    9    5   4.3   2.4   20.7  69.3    -6.6    252  1.3
 11250   12.2  54.0   265    9    4   1.9   1.1   20.2  68.3    -7.1    240  1.2
 11000   12.4  54.3   260    8    4   2.5   1.4   19.6  67.3    -7.7    227  1.2
 10750   12.6  54.7   255    8    4   2.6   1.4   19.1  66.3    -8.3    214  1.1
 10500   12.8  55.0   245    7    4   2.3   1.2   18.5  65.3    -8.8    201  1.0
 10250   12.9  55.2   245    7    4   2.3   1.3   17.9  64.3    -9.4    190  1.0
 10000   13.0  55.4   245    7    4   0.8   0.4   17.3  63.2   -10.1    179  0.9
  9750   13.2  55.8   245    7    3   6.7   3.7   16.8  62.2   -10.7    168  0.9
  9500   13.6  56.5   240    7    3  -1.0  -0.6   16.5  61.8   -11.0    146  0.7
  9250   12.4  54.3   250    5    3 -31.6 -17.4   14.6  58.2   -13.0    176  0.9
  9000   11.1  52.0   260    4    2  25.6  14.1   12.5  54.6   -15.0    208  1.1
  8750      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  8000      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           07/16/2024 at 0900 MDT          |       07/16/2024 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...  +569.3    LI...       -2.9        | CAPE...  +828.4    LI...       -2.8
CINH...   -67.3    K Index... +27.8        | CINH...    -5.9    K Index... +21.7
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -62.5 -80.5  320  15  8   1.5   0.8 | -62.9 -81.2  320  11  6   1.6   0.9
 45000 -58.2 -72.8  310  18  9   5.6   3.1 | -58.2 -72.8  310  15  8   6.0   3.3
 40000 -49.5 -57.1  280  19 10   5.0   2.7 | -49.2 -56.6  285  20 10   4.7   2.6
 38000 -46.5 -51.7  265  24 12   5.0   2.7 | -46.4 -51.5  270  25 13   4.7   2.6
 36000 -43.6 -46.5  255  30 15   6.1   3.3 | -43.6 -46.5  260  30 16   5.9   3.2
 34000 -38.8 -37.8  255  28 15   8.0   4.4 | -38.9 -38.0  255  27 14   8.0   4.4
 32000 -34.0 -29.2  255  26 13   8.7   4.7 | -34.1 -29.4  250  24 12   8.6   4.7
 30000 -29.4 -20.9  255  25 13   7.7   4.2 | -28.8 -19.8  255  23 12   7.9   4.3
 29000 -26.6 -15.9  255  24 12   7.7   4.2 | -26.5 -15.7  260  22 12   7.9   4.4
 28000 -24.4 -11.9  255  23 12   7.1   3.9 | -24.3 -11.7  260  23 12   6.3   3.4
 27000 -22.3  -8.1  260  21 11   7.1   3.9 | -22.4  -8.3  260  24 12   6.4   3.5
 26000 -20.2  -4.4  260  19 10   7.2   3.9 | -20.5  -4.9  265  25 13   6.4   3.5
 25000 -18.1  -0.6  265  17  9   6.5   3.5 | -18.5  -1.3  265  26 13   6.7   3.7
 24000 -16.3   2.7  265  17  9   6.1   3.3 | -16.5   2.3  265  25 13   6.8   3.7
 23000 -14.6   5.7  265  17  9   6.1   3.4 | -14.5   5.9  270  24 12   6.8   3.7
 22000 -12.7   9.1  265  17  9   6.8   3.7 | -12.5   9.5  275  24 12   7.3   4.0
 21000 -10.7  12.7  270  16  8   7.1   3.9 | -10.3  13.5  275  22 11   7.5   4.1
 20000  -8.6  16.5  270  15  8   7.1   3.9 |  -8.1  17.4  280  20 10   7.5   4.1
 19500  -7.6  18.3  275  14  7   7.2   3.9 |  -7.0  19.4  280  19 10   7.7   4.2
 19000  -6.5  20.3  275  14  7   7.4   4.1 |  -5.8  21.6  285  17  9   8.4   4.6
 18500  -5.5  22.1  275  14  7   7.4   4.0 |  -4.5  23.9  290  15  8   8.5   4.6
 18000  -4.4  24.1  275  13  7   8.3   4.5 |  -3.4  25.9  290  14  7   7.9   4.3
 17500  -3.1  26.4  275  14  7   8.6   4.7 |  -2.2  28.0  295  13  7   7.8   4.3
 17000  -1.9  28.6  275  14  7   8.6   4.7 |  -1.1  30.0  295  11  6   7.9   4.3
 16500  -0.6  30.9  275  14  7   8.4   4.6 |   0.0  32.0  300  11  5   8.3   4.6
 16000   0.6  33.1  275  15  7   8.4   4.6 |   1.8  35.2  300   9  5   8.3   4.5
 15500   2.5  36.5  280  14  7   9.0   4.9 |   3.0  37.4  300   9  5   8.1   4.5
 15000   3.9  39.0  280  14  7   9.0   4.9 |   4.2  39.6  295   8  4   8.2   4.5
 14500   5.1  41.2  280  13  7   7.9   4.4 |   5.5  41.9  290   8  4   8.9   4.9
 14000   6.3  43.3  285  13  7   8.4   4.6 |   6.7  44.1  290   7  4   8.2   4.5
 13500   7.6  45.7  285  12  6   9.8   5.4 |   8.0  46.4  285   7  3  10.4   5.7
 13000   8.9  48.0  285  11  6   7.3   4.0 |   9.3  48.7  280   7  4   7.0   3.8
 12500  10.0  50.0  290  11  6   8.7   4.8 |  10.4  50.7  275   7  4   8.8   4.9
 12000  11.3  52.3  285  11  6   7.9   4.3 |  11.7  53.1  270   7  4   9.4   5.1
 11750  11.7  53.1  285  11  6   6.7   3.7 |  12.4  54.3  270   7  4   9.4   5.1
 11500  12.2  54.0  285  11  6   6.1   3.4 |  13.0  55.4  270   7  3   9.2   5.1
 11250  12.6  54.7  285  11  6   5.2   2.8 |  13.7  56.7  265   7  3   9.1   5.0
 11000  13.0  55.4  280  11  6   5.5   3.0 |  14.3  57.7  265   7  3   9.1   5.0
 10750  13.3  55.9  280  11  6   5.0   2.8 |  15.0  59.0  265   7  3  10.7   5.9
 10500  13.7  56.7  280  11  6   5.0   2.7 |  15.9  60.6  260   6  3  11.5   6.3
 10250  14.0  57.2  275  11  5   5.2   2.9 |  16.7  62.1  260   6  3  10.6   5.8
 10000  14.4  57.9  270  10  5   5.5   3.0 |  17.5  63.5  260   6  3  11.7   6.4
  9750  14.8  58.6  265  10  5   4.3   2.4 |  18.3  64.9  260   6  3   8.3   4.6
  9500  15.1  59.2  260   9  5   8.0   4.4 |  19.0  66.2  260   5  3  14.6   8.0
  9250  16.0  60.8  260   8  4  17.5   9.6 |  20.8  69.4  255   5  3  34.6  19.0
  9000  16.9  62.4  255   6  3  -0.3  -0.2 |  22.6  72.7  255   5  3  -3.6  -2.0
  8750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           07/16/2024 at 1500 MDT          |       07/16/2024 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...  +694.4    LI...       -1.7        | CAPE...   +20.4    LI...       -0.1
CINH...    -1.2    K Index... +32.6        | CINH...  -156.9    K Index... +21.1
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -63.4 -82.1  320  14  7   1.3   0.7 | -63.2 -81.8  325  12  6   1.4   0.8
 45000 -58.5 -73.3  310  21 11   6.0   3.3 | -59.4 -74.9  310  13  6   4.7   2.6
 40000 -49.5 -57.1  285  25 13   5.8   3.2 | -51.2 -60.2  240  10  5   7.5   4.1
 38000 -46.1 -51.0  275  30 15   5.8   3.2 | -46.7 -52.1  220   9  5   7.5   4.1
 36000 -42.6 -44.7  265  36 18   6.7   3.7 | -42.2 -44.0  195  10  5   7.9   4.3
 34000 -38.1 -36.6  270  33 17   7.7   4.2 | -37.3 -35.1  225  11  6   8.3   4.5
 32000 -33.5 -28.3  270  29 15   8.3   4.6 | -32.3 -26.1  245  14  7   9.1   5.0
 30000 -28.6 -19.5  270  25 13   7.2   3.9 | -27.1 -16.8  260  18 10   7.8   4.3
 29000 -26.5 -15.7  265  23 12   7.2   3.9 | -24.9 -12.8  270  21 11   7.8   4.3
 28000 -24.4 -11.9  265  22 11   6.7   3.7 | -22.7  -8.9  270  23 12   6.1   3.3
 27000 -22.4  -8.3  265  21 11   6.7   3.7 | -20.9  -5.6  275  24 12   6.2   3.4
 26000 -20.4  -4.7  260  21 11   6.7   3.7 | -19.1  -2.4  280  26 13   6.2   3.4
 25000 -18.4  -1.1  260  20 10   7.4   4.1 | -17.3   0.9  280  27 14   6.2   3.4
 24000 -16.2   2.8  265  21 11   7.6   4.2 | -15.5   4.1  285  28 14   6.2   3.4
 23000 -14.0   6.8  270  22 11   7.7   4.2 | -13.6   7.5  285  28 14   6.2   3.4
 22000 -11.8  10.8  270  22 11   8.6   4.7 | -11.8  10.8  285  28 15   7.4   4.1
 21000  -9.2  15.4  265  18  9   8.7   4.8 |  -9.5  14.9  290  26 13   7.8   4.3
 20000  -6.7  19.9  255  15  7   8.8   4.8 |  -7.1  19.2  290  24 12   7.8   4.3
 19500  -5.5  22.1  250  13  7   8.4   4.6 |  -6.0  21.2  290  23 12   7.9   4.3
 19000  -4.4  24.1  245  12  6   7.4   4.0 |  -4.8  23.4  290  21 11   8.1   4.5
 18500  -3.4  25.9  240  10  5   7.5   4.1 |  -3.7  25.3  290  19 10   8.2   4.5
 18000  -2.4  27.7  235   9  5   6.3   3.5 |  -2.5  27.5  290  18  9   7.7   4.2
 17500  -1.5  29.3  240   8  4   6.2   3.4 |  -1.5  29.3  290  16  8   7.5   4.1
 17000  -0.6  30.9  240   7  3   6.7   3.7 |  -0.4  31.3  290  15  8   7.6   4.1
 16500   0.6  33.1  240   6  3   8.8   4.8 |   0.6  33.1  290  13  7   7.4   4.1
 16000   1.9  35.4  250   5  2   8.7   4.8 |   1.7  35.1  285  12  6   7.4   4.1
 15500   3.2  37.8  255   4  2   9.4   5.2 |   2.8  37.0  285  11  6   7.5   4.1
 15000   4.6  40.3  255   4  2   9.5   5.2 |   4.5  40.1  275  10  5   7.8   4.3
 14500   6.7  44.1  260   3  2   9.9   5.4 |   5.4  41.7  265   9  5   5.9   3.2
 14000   8.2  46.8  275   3  1  10.0   5.5 |   6.5  43.7  260   9  5   7.0   3.8
 13500   9.7  49.5  285   2  1   9.8   5.4 |   7.6  45.7  250   9  5   7.4   4.0
 13000  11.2  52.2  310   2  1  10.4   5.7 |   8.6  47.5  245   9  5   6.1   3.4
 12500  12.7  54.9  335   3  1   9.3   5.1 |   9.6  49.3  235  10  5   6.9   3.8
 12000  14.1  57.4  350   3  2  10.3   5.6 |  10.7  51.3  230  11  6   6.3   3.4
 11750  14.9  58.8  355   4  2  11.3   6.2 |  11.1  52.0  230  11  6   5.0   2.8
 11500  15.7  60.3  360   4  2  10.1   5.6 |  11.5  52.7  225  11  6   4.4   2.4
 11250  16.4  61.5  360   5  2   9.4   5.1 |  11.7  53.1  225  11  6   3.3   1.8
 11000  17.1  62.8  005   5  3   9.6   5.3 |  11.9  53.4  225  11  6   3.7   2.0
 10750  17.9  64.2  005   5  3  10.8   5.9 |  12.2  54.0  225  11  6   3.3   1.8
 10500  18.7  65.7  005   6  3  11.0   6.0 |  12.3  54.1  220  12  6   0.3   0.2
 10250  19.5  67.1  010   6  3  10.0   5.5 |  12.1  53.8  225  11  6  -1.7  -0.9
 10000  20.2  68.4  010   6  3  10.4   5.7 |  11.9  53.4  225  10  5  -1.0  -0.6
  9750  21.0  69.8  010   6  3   9.6   5.3 |  11.7  53.1  225   9  5  -1.3  -0.7
  9500  21.7  71.1  010   6  3  12.0   6.6 |  11.7  53.1  225   8  4   5.1   2.8
  9250  22.8  73.0  010   6  3  18.3  10.0 |  12.4  54.3  220   6  3  15.9   8.7
  9000  23.9  75.0  010   6  3   8.0   4.4 |  13.2  55.8  220   4  2  -3.1  -1.7
  8750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  8000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC).  It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near Villa Grove, Colorado at:

                   North Latitude:  38 deg 16 min 03 sec
                   West Longitude: 105 deg 53 min 37 sec
                   Elevation: 7986 feet (2434 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

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