499
FNUS75 KPUB 160117
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Incident 1047...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
717 PM MDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 MDT on July 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Afternoon and evening thunderstorms look likely both Tuesday and
Wednesday, with chances for wetting rain in the 40 to 60 percent
range both days. Erratic winds gusting up to 45 mph will be possible
with any storms. Outside of thunderstorms, winds will be mainly light
and terrain driven. Humidity will fall in the the 30-40 percent range
each afternoon, recovering into the 65-75 percent range both Tuesday
and Wednesday mornings.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(28 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then
                    rain showers with thunderstorms likely.
LAL.................5.
Max temperature.....68F.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph until 1100, then west
                    around 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 1000, then 7000 ft agl until
                    1400, then 4500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of rain showers and
                    thunderstorms until 2200.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....46F.
Max humidity........67-72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 8 mph until 2400, then
                    downslope/downvalley 3-6 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms until 2400.
Mixing height.......3000 ft agl until 1900, then 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny until 1200, then mostly cloudy. Rain
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................5.
Max temperature.....67F.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Upslope/upvalley 3-6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 1000, then 5500 ft agl until
                    1700, then 3500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...PETERSEN
Requested by...James Termini
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418142.0/PUB
.DELDT 07/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0