076
FNUS75 KPUB 152153
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for PCMS Crowder Wildfire...Fort Carson Fire Dept.
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
353 PM MDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 MDT on July 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorms will persist across the site into the evening with erratic
outflow winds gusting to 45 mph possible through 7 pm mdt. Winds after
7 pm will generally become north to northwest as main outflow boundary
drops south of the fire, though still a low risk (30 percent) of a brief
thunderstorm and erratic winds until 2400. On Tuesday, light winds in the
morning will become east-northeast by midday, then thunderstorms become
likely in the afternoon with gusty and erratic winds once again.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny(51 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
LAL.................4.
Max temperature.....102F.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North-Northwest winds around 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......11500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to very good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2400.
LAL.................4.
Min temperature.....64F.
Max humidity........57-62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North-northwest winds around 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms until 2400.
Mixing height.......9500 ft agl until 1900. 1000 ft agl after 2000.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny until 1200, then partly sunny(59
                    percent). Showers likely and chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................4.
Max temperature.....96F.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 3-6 mph until 1200, then east-northeast
                    around 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl until 1100, then 9500 ft agl until
                    1700, then 5000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...PETERSEN
Requested by...1905/ Bat. Chief Wolf
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418126.0/PUB
.DELDT 07/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0