789
FXUS63 KPAH 191737
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1237 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures will warm through the weekend but will still be
  below average through next week.

- Chances for showers and storms come back into the forecast
  Sunday through Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 232 AM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

Overall it`s a rather straight forward forecast as we remain in
general troughiness aloft through the next week. At the sfc we
have high pressure through this weekend. Energy then descends
through the central Plains and shifts the upper trof to the west
slightly and brings an inverted sfc trof up into the area on
Sunday into Monday. This brings back small PoPs to west Kentucky
Sunday afternoon and then increases in coverage into Monday.

A warm front then lifts north on Tuesday and brings an increase in
moisture with dew points back into the 70s and increases in PoPs to
likelies each afternoon through Thursday. Chance PoPs then
continue through Friday. With very little shear present, severe
weather looks unlikely, but localized flooding may be possible.
As far as temperatures go, we will gradually warm through the
weekend to the mid to upper 80s. Temperatures will still be
below average though through the whole of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024

The TAFs are VFR with light winds. A nice cu field has developed
today, and guidance strongly suggests that coverage of 4-7kft
clouds will increase tonight and continue through Saturday
morning. An isolated shower or two cannot be ruled out,
especially in the Ft Campbell vicinity.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SHAWKEY
AVIATION...DRS