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FNUS76 KOTX 162319
FWSOTX

Spot Forecast for Shoofly...RIST
National Weather Service Spokane WA
419 PM PDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 PDT on July 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT
PDT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms with abundant lightning is in the forecast
for Wednesday over the fire. The main concern is in the afternoon
and evening hours, but cannot rule something out a few hours before
or after. Any rain that falls into the hot and dry air mass will
have the potential to produce gusty outflow winds. Relative humidity
recovery will be poor the next several nights as temperatures remain
warm especially in the mid-slopes. Hot weather will intensify over
the weekend with the potential for another weather disturbance
approaching the area Sunday.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. A 30 percent chance of dry
                    thunderstorms capable of abundant lightning.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................6.
Max temperature.....82.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Valleys/Midslopes: Upslope/upvalley 2 to 5 mph
                    by 1000 pdt. Becoming westerly 6 to 10 mph
                    after 1400 PDT with gusts as high as 40 mph
                    in the vicinity of thunderstorms.
                    Ridges: Southeast 3 to 5 mph by mid morning.
                    Becoming southwesterly 10 to 15 mph after 1400 PDT
                    with gusts as high as 40 mph in the
                    vicinity of thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Variable around 4 mph in the morning becoming
                    southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 Low.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A chance of dry thunderstorms
                    in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................6.
Min temperature.....Around 58 for the lower elevations and mid 60s
                    for the ridges.
Max humidity........75-80 percent lower elevations and 60-65 percent
                    ridges.
Wind (20 ft)........Westerly winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph
                    along the ridges. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 Very Low.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........west winds 4 to 8 mph in the morning becoming
                    8 to 13  mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 Very Low.

$$
Forecaster...LN
Requested by...Planning
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418173.0/OTX
.DELDT 07/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joey_kosiorowski@firenet.gov