015
FXUS64 KOHX 172319
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
619 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1036 AM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024

A few showers are beginning to pop up in the western part of the
CWA at this time. This comes as a surface boundary slowly
approaches the area. Numerous showers and storms will develop
early this afternoon and move eastward. This does not guarantee
everyone will receive rain but many will benefit. Scattered
showers and storms will be less numerous overnight, but there will
likely still be some around. Rain chances will decrease from
northwest to southeast overnight as the boundary slowly sags
through the area. Scattered storms will be possible again on
Thursday but those storms will be confined to the southeastern
third of the area. Those behind the boundary will see some cooler
temperatures and some slightly lower humidity.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1036 AM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024

Friday continues to look like the best day of the forecast. The
boundary will still be close enough for a couple scattered storms
for the same area as Thursday, but overall, high temperatures
will be in the 80s with tolerable humidity. Looking at the weekend
and beyond, we will be sandwiched between the Bermuda high and a
larger western CONUS high giving us a troughy upper air pattern.
At the surface, that boundary that will move through our area
tonight will lift back northward Saturday and Sunday as the
Bermuda high expands westward giving us some more shower and
storm chances. Ample moisture will flow into the area from the
south as we move into next week with no overbearing upper high
sitting on top of us. This will give us daily shower and storm
chances through the rest of the forecast. As far as temperatures
are concerned, highs will be reasonable for this time of year with
temperatures topping out in the 80s and perhaps touching 90
degrees at a few locations.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 617 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024

VFR conditions with VCSH are expected at airports this evening
before MVFR cigs/vis arrive overnight, with IFR/LIFR cigs/vis at
SRB/CSV. Conditions will improve back to VFR at BNA/MQY/CKV
tomorrow morning but remain MVFR at CSV/SRB with more VCSH
anticipated. North to northwest winds up to 10 knots tonight will
become more north to northeast on Thursday with gusts up to 15
knots.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      72  88  66  88 /  60  20  10  10
Clarksville    69  83  61  85 /  40  10   0   0
Crossville     65  81  60  82 /  70  40  10  30
Columbia       70  88  64  87 /  50  30  10  20
Cookeville     68  81  61  83 /  70  30  10  20
Jamestown      67  80  60  83 /  70  30  10  20
Lawrenceburg   69  85  63  86 /  60  40  20  20
Murfreesboro   71  87  64  88 /  70  30  10  20
Waverly        68  84  61  84 /  40  10   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Reagan
LONG TERM....Reagan
AVIATION.....Shamburger