Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
731 FNUS86 KMTR 141112 FWLMTR ECCDA Discussions National Weather Service SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA 412 AM PDT Sun Jul 14 2024 ##################################################################### ## ## ## Discussions from the latest FWF below ## ## ## ##################################################################### ...Discussion from SFOFWFMTR... Low probability of dry lightning through the morning hours seems even less likely with little to no instability aloft, beyond steep midlevel lapse rates. Grass fuels continue to dry to near record levels, so any spark from lightning or human activities could see rapid spread especially in steeper terrain. Otherwise near normal temperatures, improved RH recoveries from an expanding marine layer and relatively light winds will result in easing fire weather concerns. ...Discussion from SFOFWFEKA... The dry thunderstorm event is underway. Early morning thunderstorm activity began near coastal Mendocino and into Southern Humboldt. The risk for dry lightning and gusty outflow winds has been expanded to include most of Humboldt and Mendocino counties. A shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out for eastern Del Norte this afternoon given what has been verifying. The highest concern remains in zones 277 and 283 where the Red Flag Warning remains. These zones have the best coverage of this activity and live fuels are more receptive to burning. Zone 263 in South Lake County may see good coverage of dry lightning this morning before activity moves north. Additional isolated thunderstorms are forecast for East and Northeast Trinity County on Monday before the moisture exits. A shortwave trough will clip the region on Tuesday and will increase southerly winds in the interior, particularly in Trinity County where locally critical fire weather conditions are forecast as a result. ##################################################################### ## ## ## Complete a discussion for each ECCDA segment below ## ## When done click transmit, product sent as KMTRFWLMTR ## ## ## ##################################################################### ECC010-142315- St Helena ECC Dispatch- DISCUSSION FOR Marin and Sonoma and Napa Counties 412 AM PDT Sun Jul 14 2024 Low probability of dry lightning through the morning hours seems even less likely with little to no instability aloft, beyond steep midlevel lapse rates. Grass fuels continue to dry to near record levels, so any spark from lightning or human activities could see rapid spread especially in steeper terrain. Otherwise near normal temperatures, improved RH recoveries from an expanding marine layer and relatively light winds will result in easing fire weather concerns. $$ ECC014-142315- Morgan Hill ECC Dispatch- DISCUSSION FOR Alameda and Contra Costa and Santa Clara Counties 412 AM PDT Sun Jul 14 2024 Low probability of dry lightning through the morning hours seems even less likely with little to no instability aloft, beyond steep midlevel lapse rates. Grass fuels continue to dry to near record levels, so any spark from lightning or human activities could see rapid spread especially in steeper terrain. Otherwise near normal temperatures, improved RH recoveries from an expanding marine layer and relatively light winds will result in easing fire weather concerns. $$ ECC013-142315- Felton ECC Dispatch- DISCUSSION FOR Santa Cruz and San Mateo Counties 412 AM PDT Sun Jul 14 2024 Low probability of dry lightning through the morning hours seems even less likely with little to no instability aloft, beyond steep midlevel lapse rates. Grass fuels continue to dry to near record levels, so any spark from lightning or human activities could see rapid spread especially in steeper terrain. Otherwise near normal temperatures, improved RH recoveries from an expanding marine layer and relatively light winds will result in easing fire weather concerns. $$ ECC018-142315- Monterey ECC Dispatch- DISCUSSION FOR Monterey and San Benito County 412 AM PDT Sun Jul 14 2024 Low probability of dry lightning through the morning hours seems even less likely with little to no instability aloft, beyond steep midlevel lapse rates. Grass fuels continue to dry to near record levels, so any spark from lightning or human activities could see rapid spread especially in steeper terrain. Otherwise near normal temperatures, improved RH recoveries from an expanding marine layer and relatively light winds will result in easing fire weather concerns. $$