![National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](/build/images/header/noaa.d87e0251.png)
![National Weather Service](/build/images/header/nws.4e6585d8.png)
![United States Department of Commerce](/build/images/header/doc.b38ba91a.png)
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
948 FXUS62 KMLB 160153 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 953 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 953 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Light rain from previous convection along the I-4 corridor will diminish by late evening, as will lingering shower/isolated storm activity across southern Osceola and northern Okeechobee counties. Mostly dry conditions then expected overnight, except for along the Treasure Coast where isolated onshore moving showers will continue to be possible overnight. Additional isolated showers and storms may continue to develop over the gulf stream waters after midnight through early morning Tuesday. Similar to last night, interior locations that saw the greatest coverage of showers and storms, as well as Volusia County will see temps remain fairly steady in the mid to upper 70s for the reminder of the night. Farther south across Okeechobee County and along much of the coast temps are currently in the low to mid 80s, but will see these values drop to the mid to upper 70s as well overnight. Debris cloud cover will gradually fade with skies becoming mostly clear to partly cloudy late tonight. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFs) Issued at 809 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Storms have largely diminished across the interior, leaving some lingering light debris cloud rainfall across the I-4 corridor this evening. Some embedded lightning strikes from this activity is still possible through 02Z. Localized moderate rain may produce visibility to 3-5SM, but otherwise VFR conditions generally expected, with visibility 6SM or greater. Similar setup tomorrow, with drier air near to south of KMLB and faster inland movement of the east coast sea breeze keeping rain chances limited from KMLB-KSUA. Isolated showers and storms may develop near KTIX-KDAB as east coast sea breeze forms early afternoon, but greatest convective coverage will be across inland TAF sites, around 19-00Z, as sea breeze moves inland and where boundary interactions are more likely. Have VCTS wording for now to cover this potential, but tempo groups will again likely need to be added with the next TAF package. Winds generally light and variable overnight, becoming southerly around 5-6 knots in the morning, and then E/SE 8-10 knots as the sea breeze develops and moves inland during the afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 223 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024 Boating conditions remain favorable over the next few days. As high pressure holds sway, light southerly winds at night turn SE during the day, increasing to 10-15 KT, especially near the coast with the sea breeze. There is a 20-40% chance for showers and isolated storms, primarily during the overnight and morning hours. Seas generally 2-3 FT, occasionally up to 4 FT beyond 40 NM. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 76 93 75 94 / 40 60 10 50 MCO 76 95 76 96 / 50 70 20 40 MLB 76 90 76 91 / 20 30 10 20 VRB 76 92 75 92 / 20 20 0 20 LEE 77 95 77 94 / 20 70 30 60 SFB 76 95 76 95 / 50 70 20 50 ORL 77 95 77 95 / 50 70 20 40 FPR 76 92 75 91 / 20 20 0 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Weitlich AVIATION...Weitlich