016
FXUS62 KMLB 170212
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1012 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1012 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Showers and storms diminished into the early evening, and mostly
dry conditions expected overnight. However, isolated showers will
still be possible over the waters through late tonight, and a
shower or two may still be able to push onshore along the Treasure
Coast. High level clouds left over from earlier convection will
again diminish overnight, with conditions remaining warm and
muggy. Lows will range from the mid to upper 70s over much of
the area.


&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 755 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Lingering outflow boundary pushing southeast through the Treasure
Coast may produce brief gusts out of the NW up to 20 knots at
KVRB-KFPR. However, any additional shower/storm development along
this boundary is not forecast, as it is moving into a drier
airmass. Light rain will diminish over the next hour or two from
KTIX northward, with rest of the night remaining mostly dry. Still
can`t rule out an isolated onshore moving shower or two along the
coast, south of KVRB. However, potential is too low to include
any mention in the TAFs for now.

Drier airmass building into southern portions of east central
Florida will again keep rain chances limited along the coast from
KMLB southward tomorrow. However, scattered shower and storm
development is still forecast near to northwest of the I-4
corridor where greater moisture will still exist. Have VCTS
mentioned in the TAFs from around 18z-00Z for KISM-KTIX
northward.

Light and variable winds overnight will become S/SE around 5-7
knots in the morning, and then switching the E/SE with the inland
moving east coast sea breeze to around 10 knots.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 225 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Through Sat...Persistent pattern with low-level ridging across
the local waters, potentially lifting a bit north late in the
period. This will continue to produce generally favorable boating
conditions. Wind direction generally S/SW at night/morning,
backing SERLY each day with sea breeze formation. Wind speeds AOB
15 kts thru the period. Seas mainly 2-3 ft and locally higher
invof lightning storms. ISOLD to SCT showers/storms will favor the
evening and overnight-early morning hour periods.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  75  93  75  94 /  30  50  10  40
MCO  75  95  77  96 /  10  40  10  60
MLB  76  91  77  92 /  20  10  10  50
VRB  75  92  77  92 /  10  10  10  50
LEE  77  94  77  95 /  10  50  10  60
SFB  76  94  77  96 /  30  40  10  50
ORL  77  95  77  96 /  10  40  10  60
FPR  75  91  76  92 /  10  20  10  50

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Weitlich
AVIATION...Weitlich