368
FXUS62 KMLB 190224
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1024 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1020 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

Lightning storms are gradually winding down this evening but not
before producing 1 to 2 inches of rain across portions of Indian
River, Okeechobee, and Lake counties earlier today. Sky conditions
are forecast to gradually clear overnight as temperatures fall
into the mid 70s (upper 70s along the coast). The previous
forecast remains on track, keeping conditions dry overnight with
light SSE flow persisting.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 745 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

Mainly VFR expected thru 18z Friday, with the exception of
lingering VCTS near LEE thru 01-02z tonight. Southerly winds
become light overnight and remain around 5-10 kt Friday,
increasing 10-15 kt behind the east coast sea breeze. Coverage of
TSRA/SHRA may be slightly higher, beginning 17z-19z at coastal
terminals and gradually shifting inland thru at least 00z Sat.
MVFR/IFR conditions are possible with gusty winds and freq
lightning Fri. afternoon. TEMPO groups will likely be needed in
future TAFs.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 145 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

Through Monday...Low-level ridging continues across the local
waters, lifting northward slowly over the weekend and early next
week as it is undercut by a surge of moisture ahead of an
approaching weak tropical wave/inverted trough. Still generally
favorable boating conditions. Wind direction generally S/SW at
night/morning, backing SERLY each day with sea breeze formation
thru at least Fri, then staying more uniformly S/SE for the rest
of the extended. Wind speeds AOB 15 kts thru the period. Seas
mainly 2-3 ft, occasionally 4 ft offshore; and locally higher
invof lightning storms. ISOLD to SCT showers/storms will continue
to favor the evening and overnight-early morning hour periods. A
greater chance for shower and storm development during the daytime
hours will occur from Sat through Mon. Any storms that develop
may be capable of producing cloud-to-water lightning strikes,
gusty winds, and heavy downpours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  75  93  76  93 /  10  60  20  50
MCO  76  95  76  95 /  10  70  20  70
MLB  77  91  78  91 /  10  60  20  60
VRB  76  92  76  92 /  10  50  10  50
LEE  77  94  77  95 /  50  70  20  70
SFB  76  95  76  95 /  10  70  20  70
ORL  77  95  77  95 /  20  70  20  70
FPR  75  92  76  92 /  10  50  20  50

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Schaper
AVIATION...Schaper